National League Cup · England · Gateshead International Stadium
Gateshead vs Stoke City U21 prediction & analysis
Gateshead to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.76 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Gateshead 2.4 – 1.3 Stoke City U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Gateshead are clear favourites at home with a 65% chance of winning, against 21% for Stoke City U21.
Gateshead have taken 2 points from their last 6 matches (0W 2D 4L), scoring 0.5 and conceding 2.2 per game. Stoke City U21 have 2 points from their last 6 (0W 2D 4L), averaging 1.7 scored and 2.7 conceded.
We expect around 3.7 goals (2.4 for Gateshead, 1.3 for Stoke City U21). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–1 (9%), 1–1 (8%), 3–1 (7%).
Our pick is Gateshead to win at a 65% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.76 is better than our fair price of 1.53, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Gateshead to win ✓ | 65% | 1.53 | 1.76 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 86% | 1.16 | 1.16 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 67% | 1.50 | 1.42 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 86% | 1.17 | 1.09 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 68% | 1.48 | 1.40 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 53% | 1.89 | 1.64 |
| Half-time result | Gateshead ahead at half-time ✓ | 47% | 2.11 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Gateshead / FT Gateshead ✓ | 41% | 2.43 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 9% | 10.72 | – |
Form
Gateshead – last 6
| 31 Oct | @ Aldershot Town | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Oct | @ Boston United | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Oct | @ Stafford Rangers | 0–5 | L |
| 17 Oct | vs Stafford Rangers | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Oct | vs Wolves U21 | 0–0 | D |
| 10 Oct | @ FC Halifax Town | 1–4 | L |
Stoke City U21 – last 6
| 31 Oct | @ Leeds United U21 | 2–2 | D |
| 23 Oct | @ Manchester City U21 | 3–4 | L |
| 20 Oct | vs Nordsjælland U21 | 0–2 | L |
| 16 Oct | vs Chelsea U21 | 1–2 | L |
| 13 Oct | @ FC Halifax Town | 2–4 | L |
| 9 Oct | vs Charlton Athletic U21 | 2–2 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gateshead and Stoke City U21.
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What is the prediction for Gateshead vs Stoke City U21?
Our pick is Gateshead to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.76.
Who will win Gateshead vs Stoke City U21?
On our numbers Gateshead have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Stoke City U21 21%.
How many goals will there be in Gateshead vs Stoke City U21?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
When is Gateshead vs Stoke City U21?
Gateshead vs Stoke City U21 (National League Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 3 November 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Gateshead International Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.