Value bet: Leeds United U21 to win @ 2.67 – our chance 47% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +25%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLeeds United U21 to win ✗47% · @2.67
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.16
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓71% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.45
Hartlepool vs Leeds United U21 preview and prediction
The match
Hartlepool host Leeds United U21 in the National League Cup on Tuesday 3 November, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at Victoria Park.
Form guide
Hartlepool's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to Boreham Wood 3–4 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Leeds United U21's last 5: DLLWL Most recently they drew with Stoke City U21 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.9 goals: 1.8 for Hartlepool and 2.1 for Leeds United U21. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score in 71% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Hartlepool 34%, draw 19%, Leeds United U21 47%.
Both teams to score: yes (71%) at 1.40.
Value angle: Leeds United U21 to win at 2.67 – 47% on our numbers against 37% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 71% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Hartlepool 1–2 Leeds United U21. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hartlepool34%fair 2.90 · @2.06
Draw19%fair 5.34 · @3.86
Leeds United U2147%fair 2.14 · @2.67
3.91Expected goals
1.80Hartlepool xG
2.12Leeds United U21 xG
71%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–28%
1–18%
2–27%
2–17%
1–36%
2–35%
From our goals model: Hartlepool 1.8 – 2.1 Leeds United U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Leeds United U21 to win✗
47%
2.14
2.67 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.23
1.16
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
71%
1.40
1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.10
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
1.63
Half-time result
Leeds United U21 ahead at half-time✗
37%
2.70
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Leeds United U21 / FT Leeds United U21✗
29%
3.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.45
–
Form
Hartlepool – last 6
LLWLLW
31 Oct
@ Boreham Wood
3–4
L
27 Oct
@ AFC Fylde
1–3
L
24 Oct
vs AFC Hornchurch
2–1
W
17 Oct
vs Marine
0–2
L
13 Oct
vs Newcastle United U21
1–2
L
10 Oct
@ Forest Green
4–2
W
1.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Leeds United U21 – last 6
DLLWLW
31 Oct
vs Stoke City U21
2–2
D
18 Oct
vs Crystal Palace U21
1–4
L
13 Oct
@ Oldham
2–4
L
9 Oct
vs Stockport County U21
3–1
W
6 Oct
@ Tamworth
0–1
L
22 Sep
@ Barnsley
4–3
W
2.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hartlepool and Leeds United U21.
What is the prediction for Hartlepool vs Leeds United U21?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Hartlepool vs Leeds United U21?
On our numbers Hartlepool have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Leeds United U21 47%.
How many goals will there be in Hartlepool vs Leeds United U21?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 71% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hartlepool vs Leeds United U21?
Our predicted score is Hartlepool 1–2 Leeds United U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is Hartlepool vs Leeds United U21?
Hartlepool vs Leeds United U21 (National League Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 3 November 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Victoria Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.