The Primera División Apertura sees Wanderers take on Cerro Largo on Saturday 15 August, kicking off at 23:30 (WAT) at Estadio Alfredo Victor Viera. Wanderers are 10th with 16 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Cerro Largo sit 15th on 9 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Wanderers's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Defensor Sporting 1–0 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Cerro Largo's last 5: DLWDD Most recently they drew with Juventud 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Wanderers arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.4 for Wanderers and 1.0 for Cerro Largo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 55%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Wanderers 48%, draw 23%, Cerro Largo 29%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 2.05.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 55% chance at odds of 2.05, above our fair price of 1.83, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Wanderers 1–1 Cerro Largo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Wanderers48%fair 2.08 · @2.10
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.00
Cerro Largo29%fair 3.48 · @3.40
2.32Expected goals
1.36Wanderers xG
0.96Cerro Largo xG
55%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
1–113%
0–010%
0–19%
2–09%
2–19%
From our goals model: Wanderers 1.4 – 1.0 Cerro Largo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Wanderers to win✗
48%
2.08
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
2.05 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Wanderers / FT Wanderers✗
27%
3.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.47
–
Form
Wanderers – last 6
WLWWWD
9 Aug
@ Defensor Sporting
1–0
W
6 Aug
@ Penarol
1–5
L
31 Jul
@ Atletico Torque
2–0
W
17 Jul
@ Club Nacional
2–1
W
11 Jul
vs Progreso
2–0
W
5 Jun
vs Danubio
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Cerro Largo – last 6
DLWDDW
7 Aug
vs Juventud
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ Penarol
0–3
L
25 Jul
@ Central Espanol
1–0
W
13 Jul
vs Defensor Sporting
1–1
D
8 Jun
@ Liverpool Montevideo
0–0
D
29 May
vs Cerro
2–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Wanderers and Cerro Largo.
What is the prediction for Wanderers vs Cerro Largo?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.
Who will win Wanderers vs Cerro Largo?
On our numbers Wanderers have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Cerro Largo 29%.
How many goals will there be in Wanderers vs Cerro Largo?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Wanderers vs Cerro Largo?
Our predicted score is Wanderers 1–1 Cerro Largo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Wanderers vs Cerro Largo?
Wanderers vs Cerro Largo (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Alfredo Victor Viera.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
