Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
1
Value bet: Cerro to win @ 3.20 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAlbion FC to win ✗40% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.74
Cerro vs Albion FC preview and prediction
The match
Albion FC travel to face Cerro in the Primera División Apertura on Saturday 15 August (14:00 WAT). Cerro are 9th with 18 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Albion FC sit 12th on 13 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Cerro's last 5: WLWWL Most recently they beat Danubio 1–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Albion FC's last 5: LDLDW Most recently they lost to Liverpool Montevideo 0–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Cerro arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 16 February 2026, finished Albion FC 3–0 Cerro.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.1 for Cerro and 1.2 for Albion FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Cerro 35%, draw 25%, Albion FC 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Cerro to win at 3.20 – 35% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: Cerro 1–1 Albion FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cerro35%fair 2.88 · @3.20
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @3.00
Albion FC40%fair 2.51 · @2.25
2.25Expected goals
1.07Cerro xG
1.18Albion FC xG
52%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
0–27%
From our goals model: Cerro 1.1 – 1.2 Albion FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Cerro vs Albion FC?
On our numbers Cerro have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Albion FC 40%.
How many goals will there be in Cerro vs Albion FC?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cerro vs Albion FC?
Our predicted score is Cerro 1–1 Albion FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Cerro vs Albion FC?
Cerro vs Albion FC (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
