Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
2
Value bet: UNA to win @ 2.88 – our chance 38% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultGemert to win ✗42% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.80
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗66% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.03
Gemert vs UNA preview and prediction
The match
UNA travel to face Gemert in the Derde Divisie Saturday on Sunday 6 September (13:00 WAT). Gemert are 9th with 16 points from 11 games (in the top half), while UNA sit 14th on 11 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Gemert's last 5: WLDDD Most recently they beat FC 's-Gravenzande 2–0 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
UNA's last 5: DWDDL Most recently they drew with Staphorst 1–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 1.8 for Gemert and 1.7 for UNA. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score in 56% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Gemert 42%, draw 21%, UNA 38%.
Value angle: UNA to win at 2.88 – 38% on our numbers against 35% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Gemert 2–1 UNA. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gemert42%fair 2.41 · @2.00
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @3.80
UNA38%fair 2.66 · @2.88
3.50Expected goals
1.80Gemert xG
1.70UNA xG
56%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–05%
0–15%
From our goals model: Gemert 1.8 – 1.7 UNA expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gemert to win✗
42%
2.41
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.26
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
36%
2.76
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gemert / FT Gemert✗
25%
4.05
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.03
–
Form
Gemert – last 6
WLDDDL
2 Sep
@ FC 's-Gravenzande
2–0
W
30 Aug
@ Dongen
2–3
L
23 Aug
vs GOES
2–2
D
15 Aug
@ Rijnvogels
2–2
D
7 Jul
vs Helmond Sport
1–1
D
10 May
vs Vvsb
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
UNA – last 6
DWDDLL
2 Sep
@ Staphorst
1–1
D
30 Aug
vs EVV
4–1
W
22 Aug
@ Zwaluwen
1–1
D
16 Aug
vs TOGB
1–1
D
30 Jun
@ FC Eindhoven
1–3
L
10 May
vs FC Lisse
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gemert and UNA.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Gemert vs UNA?
On our numbers Gemert have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 21% and UNA 38%.
How many goals will there be in Gemert vs UNA?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gemert vs UNA?
Our predicted score is Gemert 2–1 UNA, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Gemert vs UNA?
Gemert vs UNA (Derde Divisie Saturday) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
