Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
1
Value bet: Blauw Geel to win @ 1.83 – our chance 58% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBlauw Geel to win ✗58% · @1.83
Double chanceEither team to win ✗83% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.30
Blauw Geel vs GOES preview and prediction
The match
Blauw Geel host GOES in the Derde Divisie Saturday on Sunday 6 September, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT). Blauw Geel are 11th with 15 points from 12 games (in the top half), while GOES sit 8th on 17 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Blauw Geel's last 5: LLDLL Most recently they lost to Sportlust '46 1–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
GOES's last 5: LLDWL Most recently they lost to Noordwijk 0–1 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 2.0 conceded.
GOES arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 0.8 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.1 for Blauw Geel and 1.2 for GOES. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 62% and both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Blauw Geel 58%, draw 17%, GOES 24%.
Value angle: Blauw Geel to win at 1.83 – 58% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 62% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Blauw Geel 2–1 GOES. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Blauw Geel58%fair 1.72 · @1.83
Draw17%fair 5.74 · @3.90
GOES24%fair 4.12 · @3.20
3.30Expected goals
2.06Blauw Geel xG
1.24GOES xG
55%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
1–08%
3–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Blauw Geel 2.1 – 1.2 GOES expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Blauw Geel to win✗
58%
1.72
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
83%
1.21
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.80
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
–
Half-time result
Blauw Geel ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Blauw Geel / FT Blauw Geel✗
36%
2.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.30
–
Form
Blauw Geel – last 6
LLDLLL
1 Sep
@ Sportlust '46
1–3
L
29 Aug
@ Achilles Veen
2–3
L
23 Aug
vs Rijnvogels
0–0
D
15 Aug
@ Noordwijk
0–2
L
10 May
@ Roosendaal
1–2
L
26 Apr
vs UNA
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
GOES – last 5
LLDWL
2 Sep
vs Noordwijk
0–1
L
30 Aug
vs Rijnvogels
1–4
L
23 Aug
@ Gemert
2–2
D
16 Aug
vs EVV
3–2
W
22 Feb
@ Groene Ster
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Blauw Geel and GOES.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Blauw Geel vs GOES?
On our numbers Blauw Geel have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 17% and GOES 24%.
How many goals will there be in Blauw Geel vs GOES?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Blauw Geel vs GOES?
Our predicted score is Blauw Geel 2–1 GOES, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Blauw Geel vs GOES?
Blauw Geel vs GOES (Derde Divisie Saturday) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
