Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
2
Value bet: Poortugaal to win @ 1.80 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultPoortugaal to win ✓60% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · fair 1.75
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗66% · @1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.74
EVV vs Poortugaal preview and prediction
The match
The Derde Divisie Saturday sees EVV take on Poortugaal on Saturday 5 September, kicking off at 18:30 (WAT). EVV are 18th with 3 points from 12 games (in the top half), while Poortugaal sit 6th on 21 points (in the top half). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
EVV's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat Hercules 3–1 away. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Poortugaal's last 4: LWWL Most recently they lost to Achilles Veen 2–4 away. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Poortugaal arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 1.4 for EVV and 2.2 for Poortugaal. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 66% and both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: EVV 25%, draw 15%, Poortugaal 60%.
Value angle: Poortugaal to win at 1.80 – 60% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: EVV 1–2 Poortugaal. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
EVV25%fair 4.02 · @3.20
Draw15%fair 6.53 · @4.00
Poortugaal60%fair 1.67 · @1.80
3.61Expected goals
1.36EVV xG
2.25Poortugaal xG
57%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
1–18%
1–37%
0–27%
2–26%
0–16%
From our goals model: EVV 1.4 – 2.2 Poortugaal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Poortugaal to win✓
60%
1.67
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
85%
1.18
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
–
Half-time result
Poortugaal ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Poortugaal / FT Poortugaal✓
37%
2.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.74
–
Form
EVV – last 6
WLLLLD
2 Sep
@ Hercules
3–1
W
30 Aug
@ UNA
1–4
L
23 Aug
vs Dongen
2–3
L
16 Aug
@ GOES
2–3
L
8 Aug
@ Ijsselmeervogels
3–10
L
21 Jul
vs MVV
2–2
D
2.2Scored / game
3.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Poortugaal – last 4
LWWL
1 Sep
@ Achilles Veen
2–4
L
29 Aug
vs Zwaluwen
3–1
W
22 Aug
@ TOGB
3–1
W
15 Aug
vs Vvsb
0–1
L
2.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between EVV and Poortugaal.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win EVV vs Poortugaal?
On our numbers EVV have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Poortugaal 60%.
How many goals will there be in EVV vs Poortugaal?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for EVV vs Poortugaal?
Our predicted score is EVV 1–2 Poortugaal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is EVV vs Poortugaal?
EVV vs Poortugaal (Derde Divisie Saturday) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
