Value bet: Nassaji Mazandaran to win @ 2.77 – our chance 42% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultNassaji Mazandaran to win ✗42% · @2.77
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 6.91
Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Nassaji Mazandaran preview and prediction
The match
Esteghlal Khuzestan host Nassaji Mazandaran in the Persian Gulf Pro League on Sunday 23 August, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT) at Ghadir Stadium. Esteghlal Khuzestan are 13th with 11 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while Nassaji Mazandaran sit 12th on 12 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Esteghlal Khuzestan's last 4: LLLW Most recently they lost to Persepolis FC 1–4 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Nassaji Mazandaran's last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to Esteghlal FC 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 0.9 for Esteghlal Khuzestan and 1.1 for Nassaji Mazandaran. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 70% likely.
Value angle: Nassaji Mazandaran to win at 2.77 – 42% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 70% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Esteghlal Khuzestan 0–1 Nassaji Mazandaran. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Esteghlal Khuzestan33%fair 3.06 · @2.66
Draw25%fair 3.97 · @2.68
Nassaji Mazandaran42%fair 2.37 · @2.77
2.04Expected goals
0.93Esteghlal Khuzestan xG
1.11Nassaji Mazandaran xG
50%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–113%
0–013%
1–012%
0–28%
1–27%
From our goals model: Esteghlal Khuzestan 0.9 – 1.1 Nassaji Mazandaran expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nassaji Mazandaran to win✗
42%
2.37
2.77 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.34
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
1.75
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.25
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.04
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nassaji Mazandaran / FT Nassaji Mazandaran✗
22%
4.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
6.91
–
Form
Esteghlal Khuzestan – last 4
LLLW
19 Aug
@ Persepolis FC
1–4
L
14 Aug
vs Aluminium Arak
0–2
L
23 Feb
@ Sepahan FC
1–3
L
13 Feb
vs Fajr Sepasi
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Nassaji Mazandaran – last 6
LLLWLW
18 Aug
vs Esteghlal FC
0–1
L
14 Aug
@ Gol Gohar
0–1
L
17 Jul
vs Ario Eslamshahr
1–2
L
11 Jul
@ Fard Alborz
1–0
W
3 Jul
vs Havadar
0–2
L
27 Jun
@ Naft Gachsaran
3–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Esteghlal Khuzestan and Nassaji Mazandaran.
What is the prediction for Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Nassaji Mazandaran?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Nassaji Mazandaran?
On our numbers Esteghlal Khuzestan have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Nassaji Mazandaran 42%.
How many goals will there be in Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Nassaji Mazandaran?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Nassaji Mazandaran?
Our predicted score is Esteghlal Khuzestan 0–1 Nassaji Mazandaran, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Nassaji Mazandaran?
Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Nassaji Mazandaran (Persian Gulf Pro League) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Ghadir Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
