Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.52 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.52Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultEsteghlal FC to win ✓42% · @2.41
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · @1.08
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.58
Esteghlal FC vs Sepahan FC preview and prediction
The match
The Persian Gulf Pro League sees Esteghlal FC take on Sepahan FC on Sunday 23 August, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Azadi Stadium. Esteghlal FC are 5th with 21 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Sepahan FC sit 1st on 26 points (top of the table).
Form guide
Esteghlal FC's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Nassaji Mazandaran 1–0 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sepahan FC's last 5: LWDWD Most recently they lost to Tractor Sazi 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.6 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Esteghlal FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.4 points a game against 1.6.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.2 for Esteghlal FC and 1.0 for Sepahan FC. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Esteghlal FC 42%, draw 24%, Sepahan FC 34%.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.60.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 62% chance at odds of 1.52. Predicted score: Esteghlal FC 1–1 Sepahan FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Esteghlal FC42%fair 2.40 · @2.41
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.06
Sepahan FC34%fair 2.95 · @2.71
2.18Expected goals
1.17Esteghlal FC xG
1.01Sepahan FC xG
49%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–011%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Esteghlal FC 1.2 – 1.0 Sepahan FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Esteghlal FC to win✓
42%
2.40
2.41
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.60
1.52
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.08
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Esteghlal FC / FT Esteghlal FC✓
22%
4.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.58
–
Form
Esteghlal FC – last 5
WWWWL
18 Aug
@ Nassaji Mazandaran
1–0
W
14 Aug
vs Mes Shahr-e Babak
4–0
W
27 Feb
vs Fajr Sepasi
2–1
W
22 Feb
@ Mes Rafsanjan
1–0
W
17 Feb
@ Al Hussein
2–3
L
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Sepahan FC – last 5
LWDWD
18 Aug
vs Tractor Sazi
0–2
L
14 Aug
@ Chadormalu SC
2–0
W
27 Feb
@ Paykan
0–0
D
23 Feb
vs Esteghlal Khuzestan
3–1
W
18 Feb
@ Al Ahli Doha
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Esteghlal FC and Sepahan FC.
What is the prediction for Esteghlal FC vs Sepahan FC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.52.
Who will win Esteghlal FC vs Sepahan FC?
On our numbers Esteghlal FC have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sepahan FC 34%.
How many goals will there be in Esteghlal FC vs Sepahan FC?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Esteghlal FC vs Sepahan FC?
Our predicted score is Esteghlal FC 1–1 Sepahan FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Esteghlal FC vs Sepahan FC?
Esteghlal FC vs Sepahan FC (Persian Gulf Pro League) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Azadi Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
