Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.50 – our chance 53% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +33%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultToledo to win ✓75% · @1.20
Double chanceToledo or draw ✓93% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.50
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70% · fair 1.43
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗10% · fair 9.61
Toledo vs Huracán Balazote preview and prediction
The match
Huracán Balazote travel to face Toledo in the Tercera División RFEF Group 18 on Sunday 11 October (17:00 WAT). Toledo are 2nd with 22 points from 10 games (in the top four), while Huracán Balazote sit 16th on 7 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Toledo's last 5: WWLDW Most recently they beat Villacañas 2–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Huracán Balazote's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to San Clemente 3–5 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Toledo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 February 2026, finished Huracán Balazote 0–1 Toledo.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 2.8 for Toledo and 0.8 for Huracán Balazote. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score in 53% of our simulations.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.50 – 53% on our numbers against 40% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Toledo to win – a 75% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Toledo 2–0 Huracán Balazote. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Toledo75%fair 1.33 · @1.20
Draw18%fair 5.53 · @5.00
Huracán Balazote7%fair 15.05 · @15.00
3.60Expected goals
2.76Toledo xG
0.84Huracán Balazote xG
53%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
3–010%
2–19%
3–18%
1–08%
4–07%
From our goals model: Toledo 2.8 – 0.8 Huracán Balazote expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Toledo vs Huracán Balazote?
Our pick is Toledo to win with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Toledo vs Huracán Balazote?
On our numbers Toledo have a 75% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Huracán Balazote 7%.
How many goals will there be in Toledo vs Huracán Balazote?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Toledo vs Huracán Balazote?
Our predicted score is Toledo 2–0 Huracán Balazote, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Toledo vs Huracán Balazote?
Toledo vs Huracán Balazote (Tercera División RFEF Group 18) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
