Tercera División RFEF Group 18 · SpainIllescas vs La Solana prediction & analysis
Illescas to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 51% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Illescas 1.8 – 0.5 La Solana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Illescas are clear favourites at home with a 67% chance of winning, against 11% for La Solana.
Illescas have taken 11 points from their last 6 matches (3W 2D 1L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 0.7 per game. La Solana have 3 points from their last 6 (1W 0D 5L), averaging 0.8 scored and 1.8 conceded. Illescas come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.3 goals (1.8 for Illescas, 0.5 for La Solana). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 51%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (18%), 2–0 (15%), 0–0 (10%).
Our pick is Illescas to win at a 67% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.50 is close to our fair price of 1.50. For a bigger price, Both teams to score at 2.15 is our value angle (51% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Illescas to win ✓ | 67% | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Double chance | Illescas or draw ✓ | 89% | 1.12 | 1.10 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 51% | 1.96 | 2.15 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 67% | 1.49 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 60% | 1.68 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 80% | 1.25 | – |
| Half-time result | Illescas ahead at half-time ✗ | 46% | 2.18 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Illescas / FT Illescas ✗ | 42% | 2.37 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✓ | 18% | 5.68 | – |
Form
Illescas – last 6
| 3 Oct | @ Noblejas | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Sep | vs Villarrubia | 2–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | @ Quintanar del Rey | 2–2 | D |
| 13 Sep | vs Socuéllamos | 0–0 | D |
| 5 Sep | @ Tarancón | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | vs Pozuelo Alarcón | 0–1 | L |
La Solana – last 6
| 3 Oct | vs Villarrobledo | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Sep | @ Toledo | 0–4 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs San Clemente | 4–0 | W |
| 13 Sep | @ Almansa | 0–3 | L |
| 5 Sep | vs Manchego | 0–1 | L |
| 2 Apr | vs Villarrobledo | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Illescas and La Solana.
Tercera División RFEF Group 18 table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchego | 10 | +10 | 24 |
| 2 |  Toledo | 10 | +12 | 22 |
| 3 |  Villacañas | 10 | +9 | 18 |
| 4 |  CD Villa | 10 | +2 | 18 |
| 5 |  Villarrobledo | 10 | +6 | 17 |
| 6 |  Illescas | 10 | +1 | 17 |
| 7 |  Tarancón | 10 | +3 | 15 |
| 8 |  San Clemente | 10 | +1 | 15 |
| 9 |  Noblejas | 10 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 |  Torrijos | 10 | -1 | 14 |
| 11 |  Villarrubia | 10 | -1 | 13 |
| 12 |  Almansa | 10 | +2 | 12 |
| 13 |  Marchamalo | 10 | -2 | 12 |
| 14 |  La Solana | 10 | -2 | 12 |
| 15 |  Socuéllamos | 10 | -2 | 10 |
| 16 |  Huracán Balazote | 10 | -14 | 7 |
| 17 |  Quintanar del Rey | 10 | -8 | 6 |
| 18 |  Guadalajara II | 10 | -15 | 3 |
More Tercera División RFEF Group 18 predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Illescas vs La Solana?
Our pick is Illescas to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Illescas vs La Solana?
On our numbers Illescas have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 22% and La Solana 11%.
How many goals will there be in Illescas vs La Solana?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
When is Illescas vs La Solana?
Illescas vs La Solana (Tercera División RFEF Group 18) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.