Value bet: La Solana to win @ 3.30 – our chance 37% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLa Solana to win ✗37% · @3.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.90
Almansa vs La Solana preview and prediction
The match
La Solana travel to face Almansa in the Tercera División RFEF Group 18 on Sunday 13 September (11:00 WAT). Almansa are 12th with 12 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while La Solana sit 14th on 12 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
La Solana's last 5: LLLLD Most recently they lost to Manchego 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.5 for Almansa and 1.5 for La Solana. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 55% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Almansa 37%, draw 26%, La Solana 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.83.
Value angle: La Solana to win at 3.30 – 37% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 55% chance at odds of 1.83. Predicted score: Almansa 1–1 La Solana. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Almansa37%fair 2.69 · @2.15
Draw26%fair 3.91 · @2.90
La Solana37%fair 2.68 · @3.30
3.00Expected goals
1.50Almansa xG
1.50La Solana xG
55%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–28%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Almansa 1.5 – 1.5 La Solana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
La Solana to win✗
37%
2.68
3.30 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.34
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.52
–
Half-time / full-time
HT La Solana / FT La Solana✗
22%
4.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.90
–
Form
Almansa – last 1
L
5 Sep
@ Noblejas
2–3
L
2.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
La Solana – last 6
LLLLDL
5 Sep
vs Manchego
0–1
L
2 Apr
vs Villarrobledo
1–2
L
29 Mar
@ Albacete II
0–4
L
22 Mar
@ Sonseca
2–3
L
15 Mar
vs Toledo
0–0
D
8 Mar
@ Cazalegas
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Almansa and La Solana.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Almansa vs La Solana?
On our numbers Almansa have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 26% and La Solana 37%.
How many goals will there be in Almansa vs La Solana?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Almansa vs La Solana?
Our predicted score is Almansa 1–1 La Solana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Almansa vs La Solana?
Almansa vs La Solana (Tercera División RFEF Group 18) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
