Everton W vs Newcastle United W prediction & analysis
87%
Footrivo pick
Everton W or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Everton W to win @ 1.70 – our chance 67% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultEverton W to win ✓67% · @1.70
Double chanceEverton W or draw ✓87% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.90
Everton W vs Newcastle United W preview and prediction
The match
Everton W host Newcastle United W in the WSL Cup on Wednesday 21 October, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT) at Goodison Park.
Form guide
Everton W's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to London City Lionesses W 1–2 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Newcastle United W's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to Sunderland W 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.7 for Everton W and 0.6 for Newcastle United W. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Everton W 67%, draw 20%, Newcastle United W 13%.
Safer route: Everton W or draw (87%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Everton W to win at 1.70 – 67% on our numbers against 59% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Everton W or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.15, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Everton W 1–0 Newcastle United W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Everton W67%fair 1.50 · @1.70
Draw20%fair 4.93 · @3.50
Newcastle United W13%fair 7.64 · @4.20
2.33Expected goals
1.74Everton W xG
0.59Newcastle United W xG
54%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–015%
1–110%
0–010%
2–19%
3–09%
From our goals model: Everton W 1.7 – 0.6 Newcastle United W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Everton W to win✓
67%
1.50
1.70 ▲
Double chance
Everton W or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Half-time result
Everton W ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Everton W / FT Everton W✗
41%
2.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.90
–
Form
Everton W – last 6
LWLWWW
18 Oct
@ London City Lionesses W
1–2
L
4 Oct
vs Birmingham City W
2–1
W
27 Sep
@ Liverpool W
0–2
L
23 Sep
vs Birmingham City W
2–0
W
20 Sep
@ West Ham W
1–0
W
13 Sep
vs Charlton Athletic W
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Newcastle United W – last 6
LWLWWW
18 Oct
vs Sunderland W
0–1
L
4 Oct
@ Durham W
3–0
W
30 Sep
@ Aston Villa W
1–3
L
27 Sep
vs Leicester City FC W
4–0
W
20 Sep
vs Sheffield United W
4–1
W
12 Sep
@ Bristol City W
1–0
W
2.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Everton W and Newcastle United W.
What is the prediction for Everton W vs Newcastle United W?
Our pick is Everton W or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Everton W vs Newcastle United W?
On our numbers Everton W have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Newcastle United W 13%.
How many goals will there be in Everton W vs Newcastle United W?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Everton W vs Newcastle United W?
Our predicted score is Everton W 1–0 Newcastle United W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Everton W vs Newcastle United W?
Everton W vs Newcastle United W (WSL Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 21 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Goodison Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Burnley W0
Aston Villa W2
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Birmingham City W5
Liverpool W3
Manchester United W5
Southampton W3
Crystal Palace W2
West Ham W1
London City Lionesses W2
Charlton Athletic W2
Bristol City W0