WSL Cup · England · Wolf Competitions Stadium
Durham W vs Birmingham City W prediction & analysis
Birmingham City W to win
Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Durham W 1.5 – 3.5 Birmingham City W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Birmingham City W travel as clear favourites – 73% to win, against 8% for Durham W.
Durham W have taken 0 points from their last 6 matches (0W 0D 6L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 3.5 per game. Birmingham City W have 2 points from their last 6 (0W 2D 4L), averaging 1.3 scored and 2.3 conceded.
We expect around 5.0 goals (1.5 for Durham W, 3.5 for Birmingham City W). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 88% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–3 (7%), 1–4 (6%), 1–2 (6%).
Our pick is Birmingham City W to win at a 73% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.30 is close to our fair price of 1.37.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Birmingham City W to win ✓ | 73% | 1.37 | 1.30 |
| Double chance | Birmingham City W or draw ✓ | 92% | 1.09 | 1.07 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 64% | 1.56 | 1.65 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 96% | 1.04 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 88% | 1.14 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Over 3.5 goals ✓ | 73% | 1.36 | – |
| Half-time result | Birmingham City W ahead at half-time ✓ | 59% | 1.69 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Birmingham City W / FT Birmingham City W ✓ | 54% | 1.84 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–3 ✗ | 7% | 13.75 | – |
Form
Durham W – last 6
| 18 Oct | @ Burnley W | 2–3 | L |
| 4 Oct | vs Newcastle United W | 0–3 | L |
| 30 Sep | vs Manchester United W | 1–5 | L |
| 27 Sep | @ Sheffield United W | 1–4 | L |
| 20 Sep | vs Nottingham Forest W | 1–2 | L |
| 13 Sep | @ Leicester City FC W | 2–4 | L |
Birmingham City W – last 6
| 17 Oct | @ Arsenal W | 1–1 | D |
| 4 Oct | @ Everton W | 1–2 | L |
| 30 Sep | vs Liverpool W | 3–4 | L |
| 27 Sep | vs Crystal Palace W | 3–3 | D |
| 23 Sep | @ Everton W | 0–2 | L |
| 19 Sep | @ Chelsea W | 0–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Durham W and Birmingham City W.
More WSL Cup predictions
League hub
Burnley W0
Aston Villa W2
Everton W2
Newcastle United W0
Liverpool W3
Manchester United W5
Southampton W3
Crystal Palace W2
West Ham W1
London City Lionesses W2
Charlton Athletic W2
Bristol City W0Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Durham W vs Birmingham City W?
Our pick is Birmingham City W to win with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Durham W vs Birmingham City W?
On our numbers Durham W have a 8% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Birmingham City W 73%.
How many goals will there be in Durham W vs Birmingham City W?
We expect about 5.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 88% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
When is Durham W vs Birmingham City W?
Durham W vs Birmingham City W (WSL Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 21 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Wolf Competitions Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.