WSL Cup · England · Turf Moor
Burnley W vs Aston Villa W prediction & analysis
Aston Villa W to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Burnley W 1.1 – 2.5 Aston Villa W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Aston Villa W travel as clear favourites – 66% to win, against 13% for Burnley W.
Burnley W have taken 5 points from their last 6 matches (1W 2D 3L), scoring 0.7 and conceding 1.5 per game. Aston Villa W have 11 points from their last 6 (3W 2D 1L), averaging 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded. Aston Villa W come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.7 goals (1.1 for Burnley W, 2.5 for Aston Villa W). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–2 (9%), 0–2 (8%), 1–3 (8%).
Our pick is Aston Villa W to win at a 66% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is close to our fair price of 1.50.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Aston Villa W to win ✓ | 66% | 1.50 | 1.22 |
| Double chance | Aston Villa W or draw ✓ | 87% | 1.15 | 1.05 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 56% | 1.79 | 1.85 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 88% | 1.14 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 71% | 1.41 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 50% | 2.00 | – |
| Half-time result | Aston Villa W ahead at half-time ✓ | 51% | 1.95 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Aston Villa W / FT Aston Villa W ✓ | 46% | 2.19 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 9% | 10.78 | – |
Form
Burnley W – last 6
| 18 Oct | vs Durham W | 3–2 | W |
| 4 Oct | @ Nottingham Forest W | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Sep | vs Bristol City W | 0–0 | D |
| 18 Sep | @ Wolverhampton W | 0–3 | L |
| 13 Sep | vs Sunderland W | 1–2 | L |
| 4 Sep | @ Watford W | 0–0 | D |
Aston Villa W – last 6
| 18 Oct | vs Liverpool W | 2–1 | W |
| 4 Oct | vs Crystal Palace W | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Sep | vs Newcastle United W | 3–1 | W |
| 27 Sep | @ Tottenham Hotspur W | 0–4 | L |
| 23 Sep | @ Nottingham Forest W | 2–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | @ Brighton W | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Burnley W and Aston Villa W.
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Bristol City W0Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Burnley W vs Aston Villa W?
Our pick is Aston Villa W to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Burnley W vs Aston Villa W?
On our numbers Burnley W have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Aston Villa W 66%.
How many goals will there be in Burnley W vs Aston Villa W?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
When is Burnley W vs Aston Villa W?
Burnley W vs Aston Villa W (WSL Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 21 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Turf Moor.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.