Lechia Zielona Góra vs Ruch Chorzów prediction & analysis
81%
Footrivo pick
Ruch Chorzów or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
X
Value bet: Draw @ 3.40 – our chance 54% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +84%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDraw ✗54% · @3.40
Double chanceRuch Chorzów or draw ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–1 ✗12% · fair 8.38
Lechia Zielona Góra vs Ruch Chorzów preview and prediction
The match
Ruch Chorzów travel to MOSiR in the Cup on Wednesday 2 September (17:00 WAT) to face Lechia Zielona Góra.
Form guide
Lechia Zielona Góra's last 5: WDLWD Most recently they beat Avia Świdnik 3–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Ruch Chorzów's last 5: LWWDL Most recently they lost to Chrobry Głogów 0–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.3 for Lechia Zielona Góra and 1.5 for Ruch Chorzów. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 62%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lechia Zielona Góra 19%, draw 54%, Ruch Chorzów 27%.
Safer route: Ruch Chorzów or draw (81%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Draw at 3.40 – 54% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Ruch Chorzów or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Lechia Zielona Góra 1–1 Ruch Chorzów. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lechia Zielona Góra19%fair 5.32 · @3.00
Draw54%fair 1.85 · @3.40
Ruch Chorzów27%fair 3.68 · @2.05
2.78Expected goals
1.30Lechia Zielona Góra xG
1.48Ruch Chorzów xG
62%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Lechia Zielona Góra 1.3 – 1.5 Ruch Chorzów expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✗
54%
1.85
3.40 ▲
Double chance
Ruch Chorzów or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.60
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.40
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ruch Chorzów / FT Ruch Chorzów✓
25%
4.08
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–1✗
12%
8.38
–
Form
Lechia Zielona Góra – last 6
WDLWDD
29 Aug
@ Avia Świdnik
3–1
W
23 Aug
vs Hutnik Kraków
1–1
D
16 Aug
@ Zawisza Bydgoszcz
1–2
L
8 Aug
vs Sokół Kleczew
6–1
W
1 Aug
vs Olimpia Grudziądz
2–2
D
25 Jul
vs Rekord Bielsko-Biała
1–1
D
2.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Ruch Chorzów – last 6
LWWDLL
30 Aug
@ Chrobry Głogów
0–2
L
24 Aug
@ Stal Rzeszów
1–0
W
14 Aug
vs Lechia Gdansk
1–0
W
7 Aug
@ Polonia Warszawa
1–1
D
2 Aug
vs Miedz Legnica
0–2
L
26 Jul
@ Nieciecza
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lechia Zielona Góra and Ruch Chorzów.
What is the prediction for Lechia Zielona Góra vs Ruch Chorzów?
Our pick is Ruch Chorzów or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Lechia Zielona Góra vs Ruch Chorzów?
On our numbers Lechia Zielona Góra have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 54% and Ruch Chorzów 27%.
How many goals will there be in Lechia Zielona Góra vs Ruch Chorzów?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lechia Zielona Góra vs Ruch Chorzów?
Our predicted score is Lechia Zielona Góra 1–1 Ruch Chorzów, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Lechia Zielona Góra vs Ruch Chorzów?
Lechia Zielona Góra vs Ruch Chorzów (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 2 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at MOSiR.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Luzino2
Wisla Plock3
Beskid1
Śląsk Wrocław II3
Górnik Zabrze II3
Olimpia Grudziądz4
Górnik Polkowice0
Polonia Warszawa1
Górnik Łęczna2
Stal Mielec2
Znicz Pruszków1
Cracovia Krakow1