Górnik Łęczna vs Stal Mielec Prediction, Odds & Analysis – 2 Sep 2026

Quick tips for this match

ResultStal Mielec to win ✗45% · @2.05

Double chanceEither team to win ✗81% · @1.22

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.50

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.14

Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.75

Górnik Łęczna vs Stal Mielec preview and prediction

The match

Górnik Łęczna host Stal Mielec in the Cup on Wednesday 2 September, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT).

Form guide

Górnik Łęczna's last 5: WDWLW Most recently they beat Rekord Bielsko-Biała 1–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.

Stal Mielec's last 5: LLWDD Most recently they lost to Pogoń Siedlce 0–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 2.2 conceded.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 13 February 2026, finished Górnik Łęczna 1–1 Stal Mielec.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.2 for Górnik Łęczna and 1.4 for Stal Mielec. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 63%.

Betting angles

Win chances: Górnik Łęczna 36%, draw 19%, Stal Mielec 45%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.50.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.62, above our fair price of 1.53, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Górnik Łęczna 1–1 Stal Mielec. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Górnik Łęczna36%fair 2.77 · @2.88

Draw19%fair 5.21 · @3.70

Stal Mielec45%fair 2.24 · @2.05

2.61Expected goals

1.21Górnik Łęczna xG

1.40Stal Mielec xG

63%Both score

55%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–112%

0–110%

1–09%

1–29%

2–18%

0–07%

From our goals model: Górnik Łęczna 1.2 – 1.4 Stal Mielec expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Stal Mielec to win ✗	45%	2.24	2.05
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	81%	1.24	1.22
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	63%	1.59	1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	77%	1.29	1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	55%	1.80	1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	65%	1.53	1.62 ▲
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	43%	2.33	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Stal Mielec / FT Stal Mielec ✗	24%	4.16	–
Correct score	Correct score 0–1 ✗	10%	9.75	–

Form

Górnik Łęczna – last 6

WDWLWL

30 Aug	vs Rekord Bielsko-Biała	1–0	W
21 Aug	@ Sandecja Nowy Sącz	1–1	D
14 Aug	vs Podhale Nowy Targ	5–2	W
9 Aug	@ Śląsk Wrocław II	0–2	L
5 Aug	vs Kalisz	2–0	W
1 Aug	vs Avia Świdnik	0–1	L

1.5Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

33%Both scored

17%Over 2.5

Stal Mielec – last 6

LLWDDW

29 Aug	@ Pogoń Siedlce	0–2	L
23 Aug	@ ŁKS Łódź	0–4	L
16 Aug	vs Polonia Bytom	5–2	W
8 Aug	vs Stal Rzeszów	1–1	D
2 Aug	vs Podbeskidzie	3–3	D
26 Jul	@ Unia Skierniewice	2–1	W

1.8Scored / game

2.2Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Górnik Łęczna vs Stal Mielec?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win Górnik Łęczna vs Stal Mielec?

On our numbers Górnik Łęczna have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Stal Mielec 45%.

How many goals will there be in Górnik Łęczna vs Stal Mielec?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Górnik Łęczna vs Stal Mielec?

Our predicted score is Górnik Łęczna 1–1 Stal Mielec, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Górnik Łęczna vs Stal Mielec?

Górnik Łęczna vs Stal Mielec (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 2 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

By day

Match result

Goals

Exact outcomes