Cup · Poland · KS MOSiR Sparta
Górnik Zabrze II vs Olimpia Grudziądz prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.54 · Won ✓
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 65% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +40%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Górnik Zabrze II 1.8 – 3.7 Olimpia Grudziądz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Olimpia Grudziądz travel as clear favourites – 69% to win, against 11% for Górnik Zabrze II.
Górnik Zabrze II have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (3W 0D 3L), scoring 2.3 and conceding 1.0 per game. Olimpia Grudziądz have 9 points from their last 6 (2W 3D 1L), averaging 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
We expect around 5.5 goals (1.8 for Górnik Zabrze II, 3.7 for Olimpia Grudziądz). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–3 (6%), 1–4 (6%), 2–3 (6%).
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 76% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.54 is better than our fair price of 1.32, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Both teams to score at 2.15 is our value angle (65% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Olimpia Grudziądz to win ✓ | 69% | 1.44 | 1.18 |
| Double chance | Olimpia Grudziądz or draw ✓ | 89% | 1.12 | – |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 65% | 1.54 | 2.15 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 88% | 1.13 | 1.14 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 76% | 1.32 | 1.54 ▲ |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Over 3.5 goals ✓ | 60% | 1.67 | 2.28 ▲ |
| Half-time result | Olimpia Grudziądz ahead at half-time ✓ | 57% | 1.74 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Olimpia Grudziądz / FT Olimpia Grudziądz ✓ | 51% | 1.94 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–3 ✗ | 6% | 16.28 | – |
Form
Górnik Zabrze II – last 6
| 30 May | @ Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | 0–2 | L |
| 22 May | vs Górnik Polkowice | 6–0 | W |
| 13 May | vs Miedź Legnica II | 0–1 | L |
| 1 May | vs Lechia Zielona Góra | 0–2 | L |
| 18 Apr | @ Zagłębie Lubin II | 5–0 | W |
| 10 Apr | vs Warta Gorzów | 3–1 | W |
Olimpia Grudziądz – last 6
| 29 Aug | vs Podhale Nowy Targ | 1–3 | L |
| 23 Aug | @ Rekord Bielsko-Biała | 2–1 | W |
| 16 Aug | @ Znicz Pruszków | 1–0 | W |
| 9 Aug | @ Tychy 71 | 1–1 | D |
| 5 Aug | vs Świt Skolwin | 3–3 | D |
| 1 Aug | @ Lechia Zielona Góra | 2–2 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Górnik Zabrze II and Olimpia Grudziądz.
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Ruch Chorzów2Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Górnik Zabrze II vs Olimpia Grudziądz?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.54.
Who will win Górnik Zabrze II vs Olimpia Grudziądz?
On our numbers Górnik Zabrze II have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Olimpia Grudziądz 69%.
How many goals will there be in Górnik Zabrze II vs Olimpia Grudziądz?
We expect about 5.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
When is Górnik Zabrze II vs Olimpia Grudziądz?
Górnik Zabrze II vs Olimpia Grudziądz (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 2 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at KS MOSiR Sparta.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.