Sorrento host Casertana in the Serie C Girone C on Sunday 18 October, with kick-off at 16:30 (WAT) at Stadio Comunale Donato Curcio. Sorrento are 9th with 20 points from 13 games (in the top half), while Casertana sit 8th on 20 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Sorrento's last 5: LWLLW Most recently they lost to Scafatese 2–3 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Casertana's last 5: WLLDW Most recently they beat SS Monopoli 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.3 for Sorrento and 1.6 for Casertana. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 57%.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 57% chance at odds of 1.80. Predicted score: Sorrento 1–1 Casertana. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sorrento33%fair 2.99 · @2.70
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @2.90
Casertana43%fair 2.31 · @2.38
2.89Expected goals
1.34Sorrento xG
1.55Casertana xG
57%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–29%
0–19%
2–18%
1–07%
0–27%
From our goals model: Sorrento 1.3 – 1.6 Casertana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Casertana to win✗
43%
2.31
2.38
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.77
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.47
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Casertana / FT Casertana✗
25%
3.96
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.15
–
Form
Sorrento – last 6
LWLLWW
11 Oct
@ Scafatese
2–3
L
3 Oct
vs Casarano
2–0
W
27 Sep
@ Foggia
0–2
L
19 Sep
vs Bari
1–2
L
15 Sep
@ Cavese
3–2
W
12 Sep
vs AZ Picerno
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Casertana – last 6
WLLDWW
10 Oct
vs SS Monopoli
3–1
W
3 Oct
@ Cavese
0–2
L
27 Sep
vs Catania
1–2
L
19 Sep
@ Audace Cerignola
0–0
D
15 Sep
vs Team Altamura
1–0
W
12 Sep
@ Inter U23
3–2
W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sorrento and Casertana.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Sorrento vs Casertana?
On our numbers Sorrento have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Casertana 43%.
How many goals will there be in Sorrento vs Casertana?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sorrento vs Casertana?
Our predicted score is Sorrento 1–1 Casertana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Sorrento vs Casertana?
Sorrento vs Casertana (Serie C Girone C) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Comunale Donato Curcio.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
