Serie C Girone C · ItalyBarletta vs AZ Picerno prediction & analysis
Barletta or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.29 · Won ✓
Value bet: Barletta to win @ 1.95 – our chance 64% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Barletta 2.3 – 1.1 AZ Picerno expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Barletta are clear favourites at home with a 64% chance of winning, against 16% for AZ Picerno.
Barletta have taken 3 points from their last 6 matches (0W 3D 3L), scoring 0.7 and conceding 1.7 per game. AZ Picerno have 3 points from their last 6 (1W 0D 5L), averaging 1.3 scored and 2.3 conceded.
We expect around 3.4 goals (2.3 for Barletta, 1.1 for AZ Picerno). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–1 (10%), 2–0 (9%), 1–1 (8%).
In their last 1 meeting, Barletta have won 0, AZ Picerno have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Barletta or draw at a 84% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.29 is better than our fair price of 1.19, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Barletta to win at 1.95 is our value angle (64% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Barletta to win ✓ | 64% | 1.57 | 1.95 ▲ |
| Double chance | Barletta or draw ✓ | 84% | 1.19 | 1.29 ▲ |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 59% | 1.69 | 1.75 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 85% | 1.17 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 66% | 1.52 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 56% | 1.78 | – |
| Half-time result | Barletta ahead at half-time ✗ | 48% | 2.09 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Barletta / FT Barletta ✗ | 42% | 2.38 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 10% | 10.29 | – |
Form
Barletta – last 6
| 12 Oct | vs Cavese | 1–1 | D |
| 3 Oct | @ Giugliano | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Sep | vs Potenza | 1–4 | L |
| 19 Sep | @ Catania | 0–0 | D |
| 15 Sep | vs Salernitana | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Sep | @ Casarano | 1–3 | L |
AZ Picerno – last 6
| 12 Oct | vs Cosenza | 1–2 | L |
| 4 Oct | @ Potenza | 2–4 | L |
| 26 Sep | vs Audace Cerignola | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Sep | @ Team Altamura | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Sep | vs Catania | 2–4 | L |
| 12 Sep | @ Sorrento | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
| 14 Aug 2026 | AZ Picerno v Barletta | 2–1 |
Serie C Girone C table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Potenza | 13 | +17 | 32 |
| 2 |  Bari | 13 | +7 | 23 |
| 3 |  Catania | 13 | +13 | 22 |
| 4 |  Scafatese | 13 | +5 | 21 |
| 5 |  Audace Cerignola | 13 | +5 | 20 |
| 6 |  SS Monopoli | 13 | +4 | 20 |
| 7 |  Inter U23 | 13 | +2 | 20 |
| 8 |  Casertana | 13 | +2 | 20 |
| 9 |  Sorrento | 13 | +1 | 20 |
| 10 |  AZ Picerno | 13 | +3 | 19 |
| 11 |  Cavese | 13 | +1 | 16 |
| 12 |  Team Altamura | 13 | -6 | 16 |
| 13 |  Giugliano | 13 | -12 | 16 |
| 14 |  Salernitana | 13 | -2 | 15 |
| 15 |  Barletta | 13 | -2 | 15 |
| 16 |  Foggia | 13 | -3 | 15 |
| 17 |  Casarano | 13 | -6 | 15 |
| 18 |  Savoia | 13 | -7 | 12 |
| 19 |  Cosenza | 13 | -13 | 10 |
| 20 |  Crotone | 13 | -9 | 1 |
More Serie C Girone C predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Barletta vs AZ Picerno?
Our pick is Barletta or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win Barletta vs AZ Picerno?
On our numbers Barletta have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 20% and AZ Picerno 16%.
How many goals will there be in Barletta vs AZ Picerno?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
When is Barletta vs AZ Picerno?
Barletta vs AZ Picerno (Serie C Girone C) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.