Salernitana travel to Stadio Ezio Scida in the Serie C Girone C on Saturday 26 September (13:30 WAT) to face Crotone. Crotone are 20th with 1 points from 13 games (in the bottom three), while Salernitana sit 14th on 15 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Crotone's last 5: DLDDL Most recently they drew with SS Monopoli 2–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Salernitana's last 5: WDWDD Most recently they beat Giugliano 1–0 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Salernitana arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 March 2026, finished Crotone 0–1 Salernitana.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.1 for Crotone and 1.5 for Salernitana. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 58%.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Crotone 1–1 Salernitana. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Crotone31%fair 3.23 · @2.88
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.25
Salernitana48%fair 2.08 · @2.15
2.61Expected goals
1.12Crotone xG
1.49Salernitana xG
58%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
1–08%
0–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Crotone 1.1 – 1.5 Salernitana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Crotone vs Salernitana?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Crotone vs Salernitana?
On our numbers Crotone have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Salernitana 48%.
How many goals will there be in Crotone vs Salernitana?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Crotone vs Salernitana?
Our predicted score is Crotone 1–1 Salernitana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Crotone vs Salernitana?
Crotone vs Salernitana (Serie C Girone C) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Ezio Scida.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.