Serie C Girone C · Italy · Stadio San NicolaBari vs Cosenza prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.28 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.50 – our chance 51% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +27%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Bari 1.9 – 0.8 Cosenza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Bari are clear favourites at home with a 64% chance of winning, against 16% for Cosenza.
Bari have taken 11 points from their last 6 matches (3W 2D 1L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 0.8 per game. Cosenza have 2 points from their last 6 (0W 2D 4L), averaging 0.7 scored and 2.2 conceded. Bari come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.7 goals (1.9 for Bari, 0.8 for Cosenza). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 51%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (13%), 2–0 (12%), 1–1 (10%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 74% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.28 is close to our fair price of 1.35. For a bigger price, Both teams to score at 2.50 is our value angle (51% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Bari to win ✓ | 64% | 1.55 | 1.30 |
| Double chance | Bari or draw ✓ | 84% | 1.18 | 1.03 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 51% | 1.96 | 2.50 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 74% | 1.35 | 1.28 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 51% | 1.98 | 1.85 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 71% | 1.40 | 1.33 |
| Half-time result | Bari ahead at half-time ✗ | 45% | 2.21 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Bari / FT Bari ✗ | 40% | 2.47 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✓ | 13% | 7.72 | – |
Form
Bari – last 6
| 19 Sep | @ Sorrento | 2–1 | W |
| 15 Sep | vs Potenza | 0–0 | D |
| 11 Sep | @ Team Altamura | 3–0 | W |
| 5 Sep | vs Casarano | 1–0 | W |
| 1 Sep | vs AZ Picerno | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Aug | @ Barletta | 0–3 | L |
Cosenza – last 6
| 19 Sep | vs Scafatese | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Sep | @ Giugliano | 2–5 | L |
| 12 Sep | vs Cavese | 0–0 | D |
| 7 Sep | @ Catania | 0–4 | L |
| 2 Sep | @ Sorrento | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Aug | vs Potenza | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bari and Cosenza.
Serie C Girone C table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Potenza | 13 | +17 | 32 |
| 2 |  Bari | 13 | +7 | 23 |
| 3 |  Catania | 13 | +13 | 22 |
| 4 |  Scafatese | 13 | +5 | 21 |
| 5 |  Audace Cerignola | 13 | +5 | 20 |
| 6 |  SS Monopoli | 13 | +4 | 20 |
| 7 |  Inter U23 | 13 | +2 | 20 |
| 8 |  Casertana | 13 | +2 | 20 |
| 9 |  Sorrento | 13 | +1 | 20 |
| 10 |  AZ Picerno | 13 | +3 | 19 |
| 11 |  Cavese | 13 | +1 | 16 |
| 12 |  Team Altamura | 13 | -6 | 16 |
| 13 |  Giugliano | 13 | -12 | 16 |
| 14 |  Salernitana | 13 | -2 | 15 |
| 15 |  Barletta | 13 | -2 | 15 |
| 16 |  Foggia | 13 | -3 | 15 |
| 17 |  Casarano | 13 | -6 | 15 |
| 18 |  Savoia | 13 | -7 | 12 |
| 19 |  Cosenza | 13 | -13 | 10 |
| 20 |  Crotone | 13 | -9 | 1 |
More Serie C Girone C predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Bari vs Cosenza?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Bari vs Cosenza?
On our numbers Bari have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Cosenza 16%.
How many goals will there be in Bari vs Cosenza?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
When is Bari vs Cosenza?
Bari vs Cosenza (Serie C Girone C) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio San Nicola.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.