Value bet: Savoia to win @ 3.40 – our chance 35% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCavese to win ✓43% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 9.66
Cavese vs Savoia preview and prediction
The match
The Serie C Girone C sees Cavese take on Savoia on Saturday 26 September, kicking off at 19:30 (WAT) at Stadio Simonetta Lamberti. Cavese are 11th with 16 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Savoia sit 18th on 12 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Cavese's last 5: LLDDW Most recently they lost to Potenza 2–4 away. They average 1.3 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Savoia's last 5: DDDWW Most recently they drew with Casarano 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Savoia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.4 for Cavese and 1.2 for Savoia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Cavese 43%, draw 22%, Savoia 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.91.
Value angle: Savoia to win at 3.40 – 35% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Cavese 1–1 Savoia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cavese43%fair 2.32 · @2.00
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @3.10
Savoia35%fair 2.87 · @3.40
2.59Expected goals
1.38Cavese xG
1.21Savoia xG
59%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Cavese 1.4 – 1.2 Savoia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cavese to win✓
43%
2.32
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.91 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cavese / FT Cavese✓
24%
4.19
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
9.66
–
Form
Cavese – last 6
LLDDWL
20 Sep
@ Potenza
2–4
L
15 Sep
vs Sorrento
2–3
L
12 Sep
@ Cosenza
0–0
D
6 Sep
@ Salernitana
1–1
D
28 Aug
vs Audace Cerignola
3–1
W
21 Aug
@ Bari
0–3
L
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Savoia – last 6
DDDWWL
19 Sep
vs Casarano
1–1
D
15 Sep
@ Foggia
0–0
D
12 Sep
vs Crotone
1–1
D
6 Sep
@ Team Altamura
2–0
W
2 Sep
@ Catania
3–0
W
29 Aug
vs Casertana
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cavese and Savoia.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Cavese vs Savoia?
On our numbers Cavese have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Savoia 35%.
How many goals will there be in Cavese vs Savoia?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cavese vs Savoia?
Our predicted score is Cavese 1–1 Savoia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Cavese vs Savoia?
Cavese vs Savoia (Serie C Girone C) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Simonetta Lamberti.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
