Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSpezia to win ✓67% · @1.40
Double chanceSpezia or draw ✓92% · @1.08
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.97
Spezia vs Atalanta II preview and prediction
The match
Spezia host Atalanta II in the Serie C Girone B on Sunday 1 November, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Stadio Alberto Picco. Spezia are 1st with 35 points from 13 games (top of the table), while Atalanta II sit 10th on 18 points (in the top half). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Spezia's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat Livorno 2–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Atalanta II's last 5: WLWLL Most recently they beat Vis Pesaro 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Spezia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.9 for Spezia and 0.5 for Atalanta II. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Spezia 67%, draw 24%, Atalanta II 8%.
Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Spezia to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Spezia 1–0 Atalanta II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Spezia67%fair 1.48 · @1.40
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.80
Atalanta II8%fair 12.10 · @6.50
2.41Expected goals
1.86Spezia xG
0.55Atalanta II xG
50%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–016%
3–010%
1–19%
0–09%
2–19%
From our goals model: Spezia 1.9 – 0.5 Atalanta II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Spezia to win✓
67%
1.48
1.40
Double chance
Spezia or draw✓
92%
1.09
1.08
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
1.98
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
–
Half-time result
Spezia ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Spezia / FT Spezia✓
44%
2.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.97
–
Form
Spezia – last 6
WDWWWW
28 Oct
vs Livorno
2–1
W
24 Oct
vs Latina
1–1
D
18 Oct
@ Ravenna
1–0
W
10 Oct
vs Gubbio
2–0
W
4 Oct
@ Reggiana
1–0
W
27 Sep
@ Pescara
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Atalanta II – last 6
WLWLLL
28 Oct
vs Vis Pesaro
2–1
W
24 Oct
vs Campobasso FC
1–2
L
18 Oct
@ Gubbio
2–0
W
14 Oct
@ Latina
0–2
L
11 Oct
@ Torres
1–2
L
20 Sep
vs Ravenna
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Spezia and Atalanta II.
Our pick is Spezia to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Spezia vs Atalanta II?
On our numbers Spezia have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Atalanta II 8%.
How many goals will there be in Spezia vs Atalanta II?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Spezia vs Atalanta II?
Our predicted score is Spezia 1–0 Atalanta II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Spezia vs Atalanta II?
Spezia vs Atalanta II (Serie C Girone B) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Alberto Picco.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
