Serie C Girone B · Italy · Stadio Armando PicchiLivorno vs Ostia Mare prediction & analysis
Livorno or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
Value bet: Livorno to win @ 1.85 – our chance 62% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Livorno 1.8 – 0.8 Ostia Mare expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Livorno are clear favourites at home with a 62% chance of winning, against 17% for Ostia Mare.
Livorno have taken 5 points from their last 6 matches (1W 2D 3L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 2.0 per game. Ostia Mare have 6 points from their last 6 (1W 3D 2L), averaging 0.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
We expect around 2.6 goals (1.8 for Livorno, 0.8 for Ostia Mare). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 55%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (14%), 2–0 (12%), 1–1 (11%).
Our pick is Livorno or draw at a 83% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is better than our fair price of 1.21, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Livorno to win at 1.85 is our value angle (62% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Livorno to win ✓ | 62% | 1.63 | 1.85 ▲ |
| Double chance | Livorno or draw ✓ | 83% | 1.21 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 55% | 1.82 | 1.62 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 72% | 1.38 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 53% | 1.88 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 75% | 1.34 | – |
| Half-time result | Livorno ahead at half-time ✗ | 43% | 2.33 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Livorno / FT Livorno ✗ | 38% | 2.64 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✓ | 14% | 7.25 | – |
Form
Livorno – last 6
| 28 Oct | @ Spezia | 1–2 | L |
| 24 Oct | @ Sambenedettese | 1–2 | L |
| 16 Oct | vs Grosseto | 4–4 | D |
| 11 Oct | @ Forli | 1–1 | D |
| 3 Oct | vs Pescara | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Sep | vs Pianese | 3–2 | W |
Ostia Mare – last 6
| 23 Oct | vs Vado | 1–2 | L |
| 18 Oct | @ Pescara | 0–2 | L |
| 10 Oct | vs Pianese | 0–0 | D |
| 4 Oct | @ Latina | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Sep | vs Forli | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Sep | @ Gubbio | 2–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Livorno and Ostia Mare.
Serie C Girone B table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Spezia | 13 | +19 | 35 |
| 2 |  Ravenna | 13 | +17 | 29 |
| 3 |  Grosseto | 13 | +8 | 23 |
| 4 |  Pescara | 13 | +4 | 22 |
| 5 |  Torres | 13 | +3 | 22 |
| 6 |  Reggiana | 13 | +4 | 20 |
| 7 |  Guidonia Montecelio 1937 | 13 | +3 | 20 |
| 8 |  Livorno | 13 | +1 | 20 |
| 9 |  Campobasso FC | 13 | -2 | 19 |
| 10 |  Atalanta II | 13 | -3 | 18 |
| 11 |  Pineto | 13 | -2 | 17 |
| 12 |  Perugia | 13 | -3 | 17 |
| 13 |  Vado | 13 | -1 | 16 |
| 14 |  Forli | 13 | -1 | 15 |
| 15 |  Latina | 13 | -2 | 15 |
| 16 |  Pianese | 13 | -3 | 13 |
| 17 |  Sambenedettese | 13 | -5 | 10 |
| 18 |  Ostia Mare | 13 | -9 | 9 |
| 19 |  Gubbio | 13 | -12 | 8 |
| 20 |  Vis Pesaro | 13 | -16 | 5 |
More Serie C Girone B predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Livorno vs Ostia Mare?
Our pick is Livorno or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Livorno vs Ostia Mare?
On our numbers Livorno have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Ostia Mare 17%.
How many goals will there be in Livorno vs Ostia Mare?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
When is Livorno vs Ostia Mare?
Livorno vs Ostia Mare (Serie C Girone B) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Armando Picchi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.