Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Gubbio to win @ 1.85 – our chance 61% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultGubbio to win ✗61% · @1.85
Double chanceGubbio or draw ✓85% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗10% · fair 9.88
Gubbio vs Vis Pesaro preview and prediction
The match
The Serie C Girone B sees Gubbio take on Vis Pesaro on Sunday 1 November, kicking off at 14:30 (WAT) at Stadio Pietro Barbetti. Gubbio are 19th with 8 points from 13 games (in the bottom three), while Vis Pesaro sit 20th on 5 points (in the bottom three). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Gubbio's last 5: DLLLL Most recently they drew with Team Altamura 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.2 per game.
Vis Pesaro's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Atalanta II 1–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 2 September 2026, finished Gubbio 5–0 Vis Pesaro.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.1 for Gubbio and 1.0 for Vis Pesaro. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score in 57% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Gubbio 61%, draw 24%, Vis Pesaro 15%.
Safer route: Gubbio or draw (85%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Gubbio to win at 1.85 – 61% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Gubbio or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Gubbio 2–0 Vis Pesaro. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gubbio61%fair 1.63 · @1.85
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.30
Vis Pesaro15%fair 6.76 · @3.40
3.09Expected goals
2.11Gubbio xG
0.98Vis Pesaro xG
57%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–110%
1–010%
1–19%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Gubbio 2.1 – 1.0 Vis Pesaro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Gubbio or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Gubbio vs Vis Pesaro?
On our numbers Gubbio have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Vis Pesaro 15%.
How many goals will there be in Gubbio vs Vis Pesaro?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gubbio vs Vis Pesaro?
Our predicted score is Gubbio 2–0 Vis Pesaro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Gubbio vs Vis Pesaro?
Gubbio vs Vis Pesaro (Serie C Girone B) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Pietro Barbetti.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
