Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Cittadella to win @ 1.91 – our chance 64% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCittadella to win ✓64% · @1.91
Double chanceCittadella or draw ✓86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓20% · fair 4.93
Cittadella vs Treviso preview and prediction
The match
Cittadella host Treviso in the Serie C Girone A on Sunday 1 November, with kick-off at 14:30 (WAT) at Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato. Cittadella are 1st with 31 points from 13 games (top of the table), while Treviso sit 5th on 22 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Cittadella's last 5: WLWWL Most recently they beat Union Brescia 2–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Treviso's last 5: WWLDW Most recently they beat Dolomiti Bellunesi 2–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.5 for Cittadella and 0.5 for Treviso. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely.
Value angle: Cittadella to win at 1.91 – 64% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Cittadella or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Cittadella 1–0 Treviso. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cittadella64%fair 1.56 · @1.91
Draw22%fair 4.65 · @2.90
Treviso14%fair 6.94 · @3.80
2.00Expected goals
1.50Cittadella xG
0.50Treviso xG
50%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–020%
2–015%
0–014%
1–110%
2–18%
3–08%
From our goals model: Cittadella 1.5 – 0.5 Treviso expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cittadella to win✓
64%
1.56
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Cittadella or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cittadella / FT Cittadella✗
38%
2.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
20%
4.93
–
Form
Cittadella – last 6
WLWWLW
28 Oct
@ Union Brescia
2–1
W
24 Oct
@ Union Brescia
1–2
L
19 Oct
vs Arzignano Valchiampo
1–0
W
10 Oct
@ Novara
2–0
W
3 Oct
vs Albinoleffe
1–2
L
26 Sep
vs Lecco
3–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Treviso – last 6
WWLDWD
24 Oct
vs Dolomiti Bellunesi
2–1
W
17 Oct
@ Folgore Caratese
2–0
W
11 Oct
vs Ospitaletto
0–1
L
4 Oct
vs Giana Erminio
0–0
D
27 Sep
@ Renate
1–0
W
21 Sep
vs Desenzano Calvina
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cittadella and Treviso.
Our pick is Cittadella or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Cittadella vs Treviso?
On our numbers Cittadella have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Treviso 14%.
How many goals will there be in Cittadella vs Treviso?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cittadella vs Treviso?
Our predicted score is Cittadella 1–0 Treviso, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Cittadella vs Treviso?
Cittadella vs Treviso (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
