Serie C Girone A · Italy · Stadio Sandro CabassiAthletic Carpi vs Renate prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Athletic Carpi 1.5 – 1.3 Renate expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Athletic Carpi hold the edge on home soil with a 45% chance of winning, against 33% for Renate.
Athletic Carpi have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 2.0 per game. Renate have 3 points from their last 6 (0W 3D 3L), averaging 0.8 scored and 1.3 conceded. Athletic Carpi come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.8 goals (1.5 for Athletic Carpi, 1.3 for Renate). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 57%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 1–0 (9%), 2–1 (9%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 76% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is close to our fair price of 1.32.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Athletic Carpi to win ✗ | 45% | 2.22 | 2.15 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 78% | 1.28 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 57% | 1.76 | 1.73 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 76% | 1.32 | 1.25 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 52% | 1.93 | 1.85 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 69% | 1.44 | 1.36 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 41% | 2.41 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Athletic Carpi / FT Athletic Carpi ✗ | 26% | 3.88 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 9% | 10.55 | – |
Form
Athletic Carpi – last 6
| 28 Oct | vs Ravenna | 3–3 | D |
| 24 Oct | @ Alcione | 2–1 | W |
| 17 Oct | vs Lumezzane | 3–1 | W |
| 10 Oct | @ Pergolettese | 1–2 | L |
| 3 Oct | @ PRO Vercelli | 0–2 | L |
| 27 Sep | vs Arzignano Valchiampo | 0–3 | L |
Renate – last 6
| 25 Oct | vs Albinoleffe | 0–0 | D |
| 19 Oct | @ Juventus U23 | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Oct | vs Giana Erminio | 2–2 | D |
| 3 Oct | @ Ospitaletto | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Sep | vs Treviso | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Sep | @ Arzignano Valchiampo | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Athletic Carpi and Renate.
Serie C Girone A table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Cittadella | 13 | +13 | 31 |
| 2 |  Union Brescia | 13 | +15 | 28 |
| 3 |  Trento | 13 | +12 | 27 |
| 4 |  Ospitaletto | 13 | +8 | 22 |
| 5 |  Treviso | 13 | +5 | 22 |
| 6 |  Arzignano Valchiampo | 13 | +4 | 21 |
| 7 |  Lecco | 13 | +11 | 20 |
| 8 |  Alcione | 13 | +2 | 18 |
| 9 |  Albinoleffe | 13 | +1 | 17 |
| 10 |  Pergolettese | 13 | -1 | 17 |
| 11 |  Lumezzane | 13 | -3 | 16 |
| 12 |  PRO Vercelli | 13 | -7 | 16 |
| 13 |  Desenzano Calvina | 13 | -5 | 13 |
| 14 |  Novara | 13 | -7 | 13 |
| 15 |  Athletic Carpi | 13 | -10 | 13 |
| 16 |  Giana Erminio | 13 | -4 | 12 |
| 17 |  Renate | 13 | -1 | 11 |
| 18 |  Juventus U23 | 13 | -11 | 11 |
| 19 |  Dolomiti Bellunesi | 13 | -12 | 10 |
| 20 |  Folgore Caratese | 13 | -10 | 8 |
More Serie C Girone A predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Athletic Carpi vs Renate?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Athletic Carpi vs Renate?
On our numbers Athletic Carpi have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Renate 33%.
How many goals will there be in Athletic Carpi vs Renate?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
When is Athletic Carpi vs Renate?
Athletic Carpi vs Renate (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Sandro Cabassi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.