Serie C Girone A · Italy

Folgore Caratese vs Union Brescia prediction & analysis

74%

Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.28 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating

1.28Odds

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultUnion Brescia to win ✓68% · @1.50

Double chanceUnion Brescia or draw ✓90% · @1.10

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.10

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.28

Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.69

Win chances

Folgore Caratese10%fair 9.55 · @5.50

Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.60

Union Brescia68%fair 1.48 · @1.50

2.56Expected goals

0.63Folgore Caratese xG

1.93Union Brescia xG

52%Both score

47%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

0–115%

0–214%

1–19%

0–39%

1–29%

0–08%

From our goals model: Folgore Caratese 0.6 – 1.9 Union Brescia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Union Brescia travel as clear favourites – 68% to win, against 10% for Folgore Caratese.

Folgore Caratese have taken 5 points from their last 6 matches (1W 2D 3L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.5 per game. Union Brescia have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.

We expect around 2.6 goals (0.6 for Folgore Caratese, 1.9 for Union Brescia). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 52%. Most likely scores: 0–1 (15%), 0–2 (14%), 1–1 (9%).

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 74% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.28 is close to our fair price of 1.35. For a bigger price, Both teams to score at 2.10 is our value angle (52% on our numbers).

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Union Brescia to win ✓	68%	1.48	1.50
Double chance	Union Brescia or draw ✓	90%	1.12	1.10
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	52%	1.91	2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	72%	1.39	1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	53%	1.90	1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	74%	1.35	1.28
Half-time result	Union Brescia ahead at half-time ✓	48%	2.08	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Union Brescia / FT Union Brescia ✓	44%	2.27	–
Correct score	Correct score 0–1 ✗	15%	6.69	–

Form

Folgore Caratese – last 6

DLLLWD

25 Oct	@ Lecco	2–2	D
17 Oct	vs Treviso	0–2	L
11 Oct	@ Trento	0–1	L
3 Oct	vs Desenzano Calvina	1–2	L
26 Sep	@ Lumezzane	2–1	W
20 Sep	vs Giana Erminio	1–1	D

1.0Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

67%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Union Brescia – last 6

LWLWDD

28 Oct	vs Cittadella	1–2	L
24 Oct	vs Cittadella	2–1	W
19 Oct	@ Giana Erminio	1–2	L
9 Oct	vs PRO Vercelli	2–0	W
4 Oct	@ Lecco	2–2	D
27 Sep	vs Dolomiti Bellunesi	1–1	D

1.5Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

83%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Folgore Caratese and Union Brescia.

Serie C Girone A table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cittadella	13	10	1	2	+13	31
2	Union Brescia	13	8	4	1	+15	28
3	Trento	13	7	6	0	+12	27
4	Ospitaletto	13	6	4	3	+8	22
5	Treviso	13	6	4	3	+5	22
6	Arzignano Valchiampo	13	6	3	4	+4	21
7	Lecco	13	5	5	3	+11	20
8	Alcione	13	4	6	3	+2	18
9	Albinoleffe	13	4	5	4	+1	17
10	Pergolettese	13	4	5	4	-1	17
11	Lumezzane	13	4	4	5	-3	16
12	PRO Vercelli	13	4	4	5	-7	16
13	Desenzano Calvina	13	3	4	6	-5	13
14	Novara	13	3	4	6	-7	13
15	Athletic Carpi	13	3	4	6	-10	13
16	Giana Erminio	13	2	6	5	-4	12
17	Renate	13	2	5	6	-1	11
18	Juventus U23	13	2	5	6	-11	11
19	Dolomiti Bellunesi	13	2	4	7	-12	10
20	Folgore Caratese	13	1	5	7	-10	8

More Serie C Girone A predictions

League hub

Cittadella1

Treviso0 164%1.91X22%2.90214%3.80 1XCittadella or draw 86%@1.22 ✓

Dolomiti Bellunesi0

Lecco4 124%3.50X20%3.00256%1.95 2Lecco to win 56%@1.95 ✓

Athletic Carpi0

Renate5 145%2.15X22%3.25233%3.00 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.25 ✓

Lumezzane1

Arzignano Valchiampo1 134%2.62X24%3.10242%2.40 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.30 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Folgore Caratese vs Union Brescia?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Folgore Caratese vs Union Brescia?

On our numbers Folgore Caratese have a 10% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Union Brescia 68%.

How many goals will there be in Folgore Caratese vs Union Brescia?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

When is Folgore Caratese vs Union Brescia?

Folgore Caratese vs Union Brescia (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

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