The Serie C Girone A sees Albinoleffe take on Novara on Sunday 18 October, kicking off at 16:30 (WAT) at AlbinoLeffe. Albinoleffe are 9th with 17 points from 13 games (in the top half), while Novara sit 14th on 13 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Albinoleffe's last 5: LWDWL Most recently they lost to Lumezzane 2–3 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Novara's last 5: LWLDD Most recently they lost to Cittadella 0–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.3 for Albinoleffe and 1.3 for Novara. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 57%.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 57% chance at odds of 1.85, above our fair price of 1.76, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Albinoleffe 1–1 Novara. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Albinoleffe40%fair 2.50 · @2.25
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.00
Novara36%fair 2.80 · @2.80
2.61Expected goals
1.35Albinoleffe xG
1.26Novara xG
57%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Albinoleffe 1.3 – 1.3 Novara expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Albinoleffe to win✗
40%
2.50
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.85 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.94
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.36
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Albinoleffe / FT Albinoleffe✗
23%
4.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
10.08
–
Form
Albinoleffe – last 6
LWDWLD
10 Oct
@ Lumezzane
2–3
L
3 Oct
@ Cittadella
2–1
W
27 Sep
vs Alcione
1–1
D
20 Sep
@ Juventus U23
5–3
W
17 Sep
vs Arzignano Valchiampo
1–2
L
13 Sep
@ Dolomiti Bellunesi
0–0
D
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Novara – last 6
LWLDDL
10 Oct
vs Cittadella
0–2
L
4 Oct
@ Dolomiti Bellunesi
2–1
W
26 Sep
vs Ospitaletto
0–2
L
20 Sep
vs Athletic Carpi
2–2
D
17 Sep
@ Lumezzane
0–0
D
13 Sep
vs Pergolettese
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Albinoleffe and Novara.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Albinoleffe vs Novara?
On our numbers Albinoleffe have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Novara 36%.
How many goals will there be in Albinoleffe vs Novara?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Albinoleffe vs Novara?
Our predicted score is Albinoleffe 1–1 Novara, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Albinoleffe vs Novara?
Albinoleffe vs Novara (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at AlbinoLeffe.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
