Serie C Girone A · Italy · Stadio Ernesto BredaAlcione vs Desenzano Calvina prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.76 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Alcione 1.2 – 1.1 Desenzano Calvina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Alcione and Desenzano Calvina on our numbers – 39% for the home side, 35% for the visitors and 26% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Alcione have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (1W 4D 1L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 2.0 per game. Desenzano Calvina have 11 points from their last 6 (3W 2D 1L), averaging 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded. Desenzano Calvina come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.3 goals (1.2 for Alcione, 1.1 for Desenzano Calvina). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 57%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (12%), 0–1 (11%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 57% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.75 is close to our fair price of 1.76.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Alcione to win ✓ | 39% | 2.56 | 2.38 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 74% | 1.35 | 1.36 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 57% | 1.76 | 1.75 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 68% | 1.48 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 59% | 1.70 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 79% | 1.26 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 46% | 2.18 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Alcione / FT Alcione ✓ | 22% | 4.63 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 12% | 8.53 | – |
Form
Alcione – last 6
| 11 Oct | @ Lecco | 1–1 | D |
| 4 Oct | vs Trento | 2–2 | D |
| 27 Sep | @ Albinoleffe | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Sep | vs Union Brescia | 0–4 | L |
| 17 Sep | @ PRO Vercelli | 2–2 | D |
| 13 Sep | @ Folgore Caratese | 3–2 | W |
Desenzano Calvina – last 6
| 10 Oct | vs Dolomiti Bellunesi | 2–0 | W |
| 3 Oct | @ Folgore Caratese | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Sep | vs Juventus U23 | 0–0 | D |
| 21 Sep | @ Treviso | 0–0 | D |
| 17 Sep | vs Lecco | 1–3 | L |
| 13 Sep | @ Arzignano Valchiampo | 2–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alcione and Desenzano Calvina.
Serie C Girone A table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Cittadella | 13 | +13 | 31 |
| 2 |  Union Brescia | 13 | +15 | 28 |
| 3 |  Trento | 13 | +12 | 27 |
| 4 |  Ospitaletto | 13 | +8 | 22 |
| 5 |  Treviso | 13 | +5 | 22 |
| 6 |  Arzignano Valchiampo | 13 | +4 | 21 |
| 7 |  Lecco | 13 | +11 | 20 |
| 8 |  Alcione | 13 | +2 | 18 |
| 9 |  Albinoleffe | 13 | +1 | 17 |
| 10 |  Pergolettese | 13 | -1 | 17 |
| 11 |  Lumezzane | 13 | -3 | 16 |
| 12 |  PRO Vercelli | 13 | -7 | 16 |
| 13 |  Desenzano Calvina | 13 | -5 | 13 |
| 14 |  Novara | 13 | -7 | 13 |
| 15 |  Athletic Carpi | 13 | -10 | 13 |
| 16 |  Giana Erminio | 13 | -4 | 12 |
| 17 |  Renate | 13 | -1 | 11 |
| 18 |  Juventus U23 | 13 | -11 | 11 |
| 19 |  Dolomiti Bellunesi | 13 | -12 | 10 |
| 20 |  Folgore Caratese | 13 | -10 | 8 |
More Serie C Girone A predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Alcione vs Desenzano Calvina?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Alcione vs Desenzano Calvina?
On our numbers Alcione have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Desenzano Calvina 35%.
How many goals will there be in Alcione vs Desenzano Calvina?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
When is Alcione vs Desenzano Calvina?
Alcione vs Desenzano Calvina (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Ernesto Breda.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.