Ospitaletto host Renate in the Serie C Girone A on Saturday 3 October, with kick-off at 19:30 (WAT) at Stadio Comunale Gino Corioni. Ospitaletto are 4th with 22 points from 13 games (in the top four), while Renate sit 17th on 11 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Ospitaletto's last 5: WLDWW Most recently they beat Novara 2–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Renate's last 5: LLDDL Most recently they lost to Treviso 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Ospitaletto arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.5 for Ospitaletto and 1.0 for Renate. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 55%.
Our pre-match pick was Ospitaletto to win – a 51% chance at odds of 2.10, above our fair price of 1.98, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Ospitaletto 1–0 Renate. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ospitaletto51%fair 1.98 · @2.10
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.10
Renate28%fair 3.63 · @2.90
2.43Expected goals
1.46Ospitaletto xG
0.97Renate xG
55%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
1–112%
2–09%
2–19%
0–09%
0–19%
From our goals model: Ospitaletto 1.5 – 1.0 Renate expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ospitaletto to win✗
51%
1.98
2.10 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ospitaletto / FT Ospitaletto✗
29%
3.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.80
–
Form
Ospitaletto – last 6
WLDWWD
26 Sep
@ Novara
2–0
W
20 Sep
vs Cittadella
0–1
L
17 Sep
@ Athletic Carpi
2–2
D
13 Sep
vs Juventus U23
3–0
W
6 Sep
vs Arzignano Valchiampo
3–1
W
31 Aug
@ Albinoleffe
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Renate – last 6
LLDDLL
27 Sep
vs Treviso
0–1
L
20 Sep
@ Arzignano Valchiampo
1–2
L
17 Sep
vs Dolomiti Bellunesi
0–0
D
13 Sep
@ Lumezzane
2–2
D
7 Sep
vs Novara
1–2
L
3 Sep
@ Cittadella
1–4
L
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ospitaletto and Renate.
Our pick is Ospitaletto to win with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.10.
Who will win Ospitaletto vs Renate?
On our numbers Ospitaletto have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Renate 28%.
How many goals will there be in Ospitaletto vs Renate?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ospitaletto vs Renate?
Our predicted score is Ospitaletto 1–0 Renate, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Ospitaletto vs Renate?
Ospitaletto vs Renate (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Comunale Gino Corioni.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
