Arzignano Valchiampo vs Pergolettese prediction & analysis
78%
Footrivo pick
Arzignano Valchiampo or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Arzignano Valchiampo to win @ 1.91 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultArzignano Valchiampo to win ✗56% · @1.91
Double chanceArzignano Valchiampo or draw ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗23% · fair 4.30
Arzignano Valchiampo vs Pergolettese preview and prediction
The match
Arzignano Valchiampo host Pergolettese in the Serie C Girone A on Saturday 3 October, with kick-off at 16:30 (WAT) at Tommaso Dal Molin. Arzignano Valchiampo are 6th with 21 points from 13 games (in the top half), while Pergolettese sit 10th on 17 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Arzignano Valchiampo's last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat Athletic Carpi 3–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Pergolettese's last 5: DDDWD Most recently they drew with Trento 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.2 per game. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Arzignano Valchiampo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.5 goals: 1.0 for Arzignano Valchiampo and 0.5 for Pergolettese. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 81% likely.
Safer route: Arzignano Valchiampo or draw (78%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Arzignano Valchiampo to win at 1.91 – 56% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Arzignano Valchiampo or draw – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Arzignano Valchiampo 1–0 Pergolettese. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Arzignano Valchiampo56%fair 1.80 · @1.91
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.10
Pergolettese22%fair 4.59 · @3.60
1.50Expected goals
1.04Arzignano Valchiampo xG
0.46Pergolettese xG
47%Both score
19%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–023%
0–022%
2–012%
1–111%
0–110%
2–16%
From our goals model: Arzignano Valchiampo 1.0 – 0.5 Pergolettese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Arzignano Valchiampo to win✗
56%
1.80
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Arzignano Valchiampo or draw✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
93%
1.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
57%
1.77
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
28%
3.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
23%
4.30
–
Form
Arzignano Valchiampo – last 6
WWWLLD
27 Sep
@ Athletic Carpi
3–0
W
20 Sep
vs Renate
2–1
W
17 Sep
@ Albinoleffe
2–1
W
13 Sep
vs Desenzano Calvina
1–2
L
6 Sep
@ Ospitaletto
1–3
L
2 Sep
vs Dolomiti Bellunesi
2–2
D
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Pergolettese – last 6
DDDWDL
26 Sep
vs Trento
0–0
D
20 Sep
@ Lecco
0–0
D
17 Sep
vs Folgore Caratese
0–0
D
13 Sep
@ Novara
1–0
W
6 Sep
@ Juventus U23
0–0
D
30 Aug
vs Union Brescia
0–1
L
0.2Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arzignano Valchiampo and Pergolettese.
What is the prediction for Arzignano Valchiampo vs Pergolettese?
Our pick is Arzignano Valchiampo or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Arzignano Valchiampo vs Pergolettese?
On our numbers Arzignano Valchiampo have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Pergolettese 22%.
How many goals will there be in Arzignano Valchiampo vs Pergolettese?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 19% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arzignano Valchiampo vs Pergolettese?
Our predicted score is Arzignano Valchiampo 1–0 Pergolettese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.
When is Arzignano Valchiampo vs Pergolettese?
Arzignano Valchiampo vs Pergolettese (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Tommaso Dal Molin.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
