Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.83 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.83Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLecco to win ✗45% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.35
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓58% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 1.5 goals ✓70% · fair 1.43
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗22% · fair 4.56
Lecco vs Pergolettese preview and prediction
The match
Pergolettese travel to Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi in the Serie C Girone A on Sunday 20 September (19:30 WAT) to face Lecco. Lecco are 7th with 20 points from 13 games (in the top half), while Pergolettese sit 10th on 17 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Lecco's last 5: WWLLD Most recently they beat Desenzano Calvina 3–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Pergolettese's last 5: DWDLL Most recently they drew with Folgore Caratese 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.1 goals: 0.7 for Lecco and 0.4 for Pergolettese. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 90% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 58% chance at odds of 1.83, above our fair price of 1.71, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Lecco 0–0 Pergolettese. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lecco45%fair 2.20 · @2.05
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @2.90
Pergolettese31%fair 3.20 · @3.30
1.10Expected goals
0.66Lecco xG
0.44Pergolettese xG
42%Both score
10%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–033%
1–022%
0–115%
1–110%
2–07%
0–23%
From our goals model: Lecco 0.7 – 0.4 Pergolettese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lecco to win✗
45%
2.20
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.35
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
58%
1.71
1.83 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
97%
1.03
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
65%
1.53
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
38%
2.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
22%
4.56
–
Form
Lecco – last 6
WWLLDD
17 Sep
@ Desenzano Calvina
3–1
W
13 Sep
vs Giana Erminio
1–0
W
7 Sep
@ Trento
0–1
L
31 Aug
@ Treviso
0–1
L
22 Aug
vs Arzignano Valchiampo
0–0
D
16 Aug
vs Desenzano Calvina
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Pergolettese – last 6
DWDLLD
17 Sep
vs Folgore Caratese
0–0
D
13 Sep
@ Novara
1–0
W
6 Sep
@ Juventus U23
0–0
D
30 Aug
vs Union Brescia
0–1
L
22 Aug
@ Cittadella
0–2
L
14 Aug
@ PRO Vercelli
1–1
D
0.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lecco and Pergolettese.
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Lecco vs Pergolettese?
On our numbers Lecco have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Pergolettese 31%.
How many goals will there be in Lecco vs Pergolettese?
We expect about 1.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 10% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lecco vs Pergolettese?
Our predicted score is Lecco 0–0 Pergolettese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.1 goals in total.
When is Lecco vs Pergolettese?
Lecco vs Pergolettese (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
