Very strong pick · fair odds 1.13 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Union Brescia to win @ 1.91 – our chance 62% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultUnion Brescia to win ✓62% · @1.91
Double chanceUnion Brescia or draw ✓88% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.75
Alcione vs Union Brescia preview and prediction
The match
The Serie C Girone A sees Alcione take on Union Brescia on Sunday 20 September, kicking off at 19:30 (WAT) at Stadio Ernesto Breda. Alcione are 8th with 18 points from 13 games (in the top half), while Union Brescia sit 2nd on 28 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Alcione's last 5: DWDDW Most recently they drew with PRO Vercelli 2–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Union Brescia's last 5: DDWWW Most recently they drew with Treviso 2–2 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Union Brescia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 13 March 2026, finished Alcione 0–0 Union Brescia.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 0.7 for Alcione and 1.8 for Union Brescia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Alcione 12%, draw 27%, Union Brescia 62%.
Safer route: Union Brescia or draw (88%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.05.
Value angle: Union Brescia to win at 1.91 – 62% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Union Brescia or draw – a 88% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.13, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Alcione 0–1 Union Brescia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Alcione12%fair 8.69 · @4.00
Draw27%fair 3.72 · @2.80
Union Brescia62%fair 1.62 · @1.91
2.50Expected goals
0.70Alcione xG
1.80Union Brescia xG
51%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
0–213%
1–110%
1–29%
0–08%
0–38%
From our goals model: Alcione 0.7 – 1.8 Union Brescia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Alcione vs Union Brescia?
Our pick is Union Brescia or draw with a 88% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Alcione vs Union Brescia?
On our numbers Alcione have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Union Brescia 62%.
How many goals will there be in Alcione vs Union Brescia?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alcione vs Union Brescia?
Our predicted score is Alcione 0–1 Union Brescia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Alcione vs Union Brescia?
Alcione vs Union Brescia (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Ernesto Breda.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
