Value bet: Dolomiti Bellunesi to win @ 3.20 – our chance 43% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +37%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDolomiti Bellunesi to win ✗43% · @3.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.82
Renate vs Dolomiti Bellunesi preview and prediction
The match
Renate host Dolomiti Bellunesi in the Serie C Girone A on Thursday 17 September, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at Mino Favini. Renate are 17th with 11 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Dolomiti Bellunesi sit 19th on 10 points (in the bottom three). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Renate's last 5: DLLLL Most recently they drew with Lumezzane 2–2 away. They average 1.2 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Dolomiti Bellunesi's last 5: DWDDW Most recently they drew with Albinoleffe 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Dolomiti Bellunesi arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.0 for Renate and 1.2 for Dolomiti Bellunesi. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 52%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Dolomiti Bellunesi to win at 3.20 – 43% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 52% chance at odds of 1.91. Predicted score: Renate 1–1 Dolomiti Bellunesi. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Renate34%fair 2.95 · @2.10
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @2.90
Dolomiti Bellunesi43%fair 2.34 · @3.20
2.25Expected goals
1.04Renate xG
1.21Dolomiti Bellunesi xG
52%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–113%
1–011%
0–011%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Renate 1.0 – 1.2 Dolomiti Bellunesi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dolomiti Bellunesi to win✗
43%
2.34
3.20 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
1.91
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Dolomiti Bellunesi / FT Dolomiti Bellunesi✗
23%
4.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.82
–
Form
Renate – last 6
DLLLLD
13 Sep
@ Lumezzane
2–2
D
7 Sep
vs Novara
1–2
L
3 Sep
@ Cittadella
1–4
L
31 Aug
vs Cittadella
0–1
L
21 Aug
@ Alcione
1–3
L
15 Aug
@ Lumezzane
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Dolomiti Bellunesi – last 6
DWDDWW
13 Sep
vs Albinoleffe
0–0
D
6 Sep
@ Giana Erminio
2–1
W
2 Sep
@ Arzignano Valchiampo
2–2
D
30 Aug
vs Alcione
0–0
D
24 Aug
@ Folgore Caratese
2–1
W
16 Aug
vs Treviso
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Renate and Dolomiti Bellunesi.
What is the prediction for Renate vs Dolomiti Bellunesi?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Renate vs Dolomiti Bellunesi?
On our numbers Renate have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Dolomiti Bellunesi 43%.
How many goals will there be in Renate vs Dolomiti Bellunesi?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Renate vs Dolomiti Bellunesi?
Our predicted score is Renate 1–1 Dolomiti Bellunesi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Renate vs Dolomiti Bellunesi?
Renate vs Dolomiti Bellunesi (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Thursday 17 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Mino Favini.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
