Athletic Carpi vs Ospitaletto prediction & analysis
58%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.85Odds
2
Value bet: Ospitaletto to win @ 2.45 – our chance 45% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultOspitaletto to win ✗45% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.90
Athletic Carpi vs Ospitaletto preview and prediction
The match
The Serie C Girone A sees Athletic Carpi take on Ospitaletto on Thursday 17 September, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT) at Stadio Sandro Cabassi. Athletic Carpi are 15th with 13 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Ospitaletto sit 4th on 22 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Athletic Carpi's last 5: LWDDL Most recently they lost to Cittadella 1–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Ospitaletto's last 5: WWDWL Most recently they beat Juventus U23 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Ospitaletto arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.4 for Athletic Carpi and 1.7 for Ospitaletto. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score in 58% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Ospitaletto to win at 2.45 – 45% on our numbers against 41% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 58% chance at odds of 1.85, above our fair price of 1.72, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Athletic Carpi 1–1 Ospitaletto. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Athletic Carpi31%fair 3.24 · @2.75
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @2.80
Ospitaletto45%fair 2.20 · @2.45
3.13Expected goals
1.40Athletic Carpi xG
1.73Ospitaletto xG
58%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–17%
0–27%
2–26%
From our goals model: Athletic Carpi 1.4 – 1.7 Ospitaletto expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ospitaletto to win✗
45%
2.20
2.45 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
1.85 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.60
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ospitaletto / FT Ospitaletto✗
28%
3.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.90
–
Form
Athletic Carpi – last 6
LWDDLW
13 Sep
vs Cittadella
1–2
L
6 Sep
@ Albinoleffe
1–0
W
2 Sep
vs PRO Vercelli
1–1
D
30 Aug
vs Juventus U23
3–3
D
21 Aug
@ Union Brescia
1–3
L
15 Aug
vs Pianese
3–2
W
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Ospitaletto – last 6
WWDWLD
13 Sep
vs Juventus U23
3–0
W
6 Sep
vs Arzignano Valchiampo
3–1
W
31 Aug
@ Albinoleffe
1–1
D
22 Aug
vs Lumezzane
2–0
W
14 Aug
@ Trento
1–2
L
8 Aug
@ Rovato Vertovese
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Athletic Carpi and Ospitaletto.
What is the prediction for Athletic Carpi vs Ospitaletto?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Athletic Carpi vs Ospitaletto?
On our numbers Athletic Carpi have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Ospitaletto 45%.
How many goals will there be in Athletic Carpi vs Ospitaletto?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Athletic Carpi vs Ospitaletto?
Our predicted score is Athletic Carpi 1–1 Ospitaletto, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Athletic Carpi vs Ospitaletto?
Athletic Carpi vs Ospitaletto (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Thursday 17 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Sandro Cabassi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
