Serie C Girone A · Italy · Tullio SaleriLumezzane vs Novara prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.93 · bookmaker 1.83 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Lumezzane 1.2 – 1.2 Novara expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Lumezzane and Novara on our numbers – 38% for the home side, 36% for the visitors and 26% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Lumezzane have taken 6 points from their last 6 matches (1W 3D 2L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.3 per game. Novara have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 0.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.
We expect around 2.4 goals (1.2 for Lumezzane, 1.2 for Novara). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 52%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (11%), 0–1 (11%).
In their last 1 meeting, Lumezzane have won 1, Novara have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 4.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 52% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.83 is close to our fair price of 1.93.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Lumezzane to win ✗ | 38% | 2.63 | 2.60 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 74% | 1.35 | 1.35 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 52% | 1.93 | 1.83 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 69% | 1.46 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 57% | 1.74 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 78% | 1.28 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 45% | 2.20 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Lumezzane / FT Lumezzane ✗ | 21% | 4.74 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 11% | 8.94 | – |
Form
Lumezzane – last 6
| 13 Sep | vs Renate | 2–2 | D |
| 6 Sep | @ Cittadella | 1–2 | L |
| 30 Aug | vs Giana Erminio | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Aug | @ Ospitaletto | 0–2 | L |
| 15 Aug | vs Renate | 2–2 | D |
| 1 Aug | @ Cremonese | 0–0 | D |
Novara – last 6
| 13 Sep | vs Pergolettese | 0–1 | L |
| 7 Sep | @ Renate | 2–1 | W |
| 3 Sep | vs Livorno | 0–0 | D |
| 31 Aug | vs Folgore Caratese | 2–2 | D |
| 22 Aug | @ Juventus U23 | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Aug | @ Alcione | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
| 3 Apr 2026 | Novara v Lumezzane | 1–3 |
Serie C Girone A table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Cittadella | 13 | +13 | 31 |
| 2 |  Union Brescia | 13 | +15 | 28 |
| 3 |  Trento | 13 | +12 | 27 |
| 4 |  Ospitaletto | 13 | +8 | 22 |
| 5 |  Treviso | 13 | +5 | 22 |
| 6 |  Arzignano Valchiampo | 13 | +4 | 21 |
| 7 |  Lecco | 13 | +11 | 20 |
| 8 |  Alcione | 13 | +2 | 18 |
| 9 |  Albinoleffe | 13 | +1 | 17 |
| 10 |  Pergolettese | 13 | -1 | 17 |
| 11 |  Lumezzane | 13 | -3 | 16 |
| 12 |  PRO Vercelli | 13 | -7 | 16 |
| 13 |  Desenzano Calvina | 13 | -5 | 13 |
| 14 |  Novara | 13 | -7 | 13 |
| 15 |  Athletic Carpi | 13 | -10 | 13 |
| 16 |  Giana Erminio | 13 | -4 | 12 |
| 17 |  Renate | 13 | -1 | 11 |
| 18 |  Juventus U23 | 13 | -11 | 11 |
| 19 |  Dolomiti Bellunesi | 13 | -12 | 10 |
| 20 |  Folgore Caratese | 13 | -10 | 8 |
More Serie C Girone A predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Lumezzane vs Novara?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Lumezzane vs Novara?
On our numbers Lumezzane have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Novara 36%.
How many goals will there be in Lumezzane vs Novara?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
When is Lumezzane vs Novara?
Lumezzane vs Novara (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Thursday 17 September 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Tullio Saleri.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.