Serie C Girone A · Italy · Stadio Citta di GorgonzolaGiana Erminio vs Trento prediction & analysis
Not both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.82 · bookmaker 1.85 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Trento to win @ 2.38 – our chance 46% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Giana Erminio 0.6 – 0.9 Trento expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Trento shade it despite being away from home – 46% to win, against 30% for Giana Erminio.
Giana Erminio have taken 1 points from their last 6 matches (0W 1D 5L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 2.0 per game. Trento have 11 points from their last 6 (3W 2D 1L), averaging 0.8 scored and 0.5 conceded. Trento come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 1.5 goals (0.6 for Giana Erminio, 0.9 for Trento). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 81% likely. Most likely scores: 0–0 (22%), 0–1 (20%), 1–0 (14%).
Our pick is Not both teams to score at a 55% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.85 is close to our fair price of 1.82. For a bigger price, Trento to win at 2.38 is our value angle (46% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Trento to win ✗ | 46% | 2.18 | 2.38 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 76% | 1.31 | 1.35 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 55% | 1.82 | 1.85 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Under 1.5 goals ✗ | 56% | 1.79 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 81% | 1.24 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 93% | 1.07 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 57% | 1.75 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Draw / FT Draw ✗ | 29% | 3.43 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 20% | 5.08 | – |
Form
Giana Erminio – last 6
| 13 Sep | @ Lecco | 0–1 | L |
| 6 Sep | vs Dolomiti Bellunesi | 1–2 | L |
| 2 Sep | @ Union Brescia | 2–5 | L |
| 30 Aug | @ Lumezzane | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Aug | vs Albinoleffe | 1–2 | L |
| 16 Aug | vs Folgore Caratese | 1–1 | D |
Trento – last 6
| 13 Sep | vs Union Brescia | 0–0 | D |
| 7 Sep | vs Lecco | 1–0 | W |
| 3 Sep | vs Desenzano Calvina | 0–1 | L |
| 31 Aug | @ Desenzano Calvina | 0–0 | D |
| 23 Aug | vs Treviso | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Aug | vs Ospitaletto | 2–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Giana Erminio and Trento.
Serie C Girone A table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Cittadella | 13 | +13 | 31 |
| 2 |  Union Brescia | 13 | +15 | 28 |
| 3 |  Trento | 13 | +12 | 27 |
| 4 |  Ospitaletto | 13 | +8 | 22 |
| 5 |  Treviso | 13 | +5 | 22 |
| 6 |  Arzignano Valchiampo | 13 | +4 | 21 |
| 7 |  Lecco | 13 | +11 | 20 |
| 8 |  Alcione | 13 | +2 | 18 |
| 9 |  Albinoleffe | 13 | +1 | 17 |
| 10 |  Pergolettese | 13 | -1 | 17 |
| 11 |  Lumezzane | 13 | -3 | 16 |
| 12 |  PRO Vercelli | 13 | -7 | 16 |
| 13 |  Desenzano Calvina | 13 | -5 | 13 |
| 14 |  Novara | 13 | -7 | 13 |
| 15 |  Athletic Carpi | 13 | -10 | 13 |
| 16 |  Giana Erminio | 13 | -4 | 12 |
| 17 |  Renate | 13 | -1 | 11 |
| 18 |  Juventus U23 | 13 | -11 | 11 |
| 19 |  Dolomiti Bellunesi | 13 | -12 | 10 |
| 20 |  Folgore Caratese | 13 | -10 | 8 |
More Serie C Girone A predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Giana Erminio vs Trento?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Giana Erminio vs Trento?
On our numbers Giana Erminio have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Trento 46%.
How many goals will there be in Giana Erminio vs Trento?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 19% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
When is Giana Erminio vs Trento?
Giana Erminio vs Trento (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Thursday 17 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Citta di Gorgonzola.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.