Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Cittadella to win @ 1.80 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCittadella to win ✓60% · @1.80
Double chanceCittadella or draw ✓81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗57% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗25% · fair 4.01
Cittadella vs Lumezzane preview and prediction
The match
Lumezzane travel to Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato in the Serie C Girone A on Sunday 6 September (20:00 WAT) to face Cittadella. Cittadella are 1st with 31 points from 13 games (top of the table), while Lumezzane sit 11th on 16 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Cittadella's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat Renate 4–1 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 5. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Lumezzane's last 5: WLDDL Most recently they beat Giana Erminio 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Cittadella arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 6 May 2026, finished Cittadella 1–0 Lumezzane.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.5 goals: 1.1 for Cittadella and 0.4 for Lumezzane. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 81% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Value angle: Cittadella to win at 1.80 – 60% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Cittadella or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Cittadella 1–0 Lumezzane. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cittadella60%fair 1.66 · @1.80
Draw21%fair 4.73 · @3.00
Lumezzane19%fair 5.39 · @4.20
1.50Expected goals
1.12Cittadella xG
0.38Lumezzane xG
43%Both score
19%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–025%
0–022%
2–014%
1–110%
0–19%
2–15%
From our goals model: Cittadella 1.1 – 0.4 Lumezzane expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Cittadella vs Lumezzane?
Our pick is Cittadella or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Cittadella vs Lumezzane?
On our numbers Cittadella have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Lumezzane 19%.
How many goals will there be in Cittadella vs Lumezzane?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 19% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cittadella vs Lumezzane?
Our predicted score is Cittadella 1–0 Lumezzane, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.
When is Cittadella vs Lumezzane?
Cittadella vs Lumezzane (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
