Serie C Girone A · Italy · AlbinoLeffeAlbinoleffe vs Athletic Carpi prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.85 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Albinoleffe 2.1 – 1.6 Athletic Carpi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Albinoleffe hold the edge on home soil with a 48% chance of winning, against 28% for Athletic Carpi.
Albinoleffe have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.2 per game. Athletic Carpi have 11 points from their last 6 (3W 2D 1L), averaging 2.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
We expect around 3.8 goals (2.1 for Albinoleffe, 1.6 for Athletic Carpi). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 2–1 (9%), 1–1 (8%), 2–2 (7%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 63% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.85 is better than our fair price of 1.59, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Albinoleffe to win ✗ | 48% | 2.09 | 2.15 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 76% | 1.31 | 1.36 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 63% | 1.59 | 1.85 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 89% | 1.13 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 72% | 1.38 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Over 3.5 goals ✗ | 52% | 1.94 | – |
| Half-time result | Albinoleffe ahead at half-time ✗ | 39% | 2.57 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Albinoleffe / FT Albinoleffe ✗ | 31% | 3.23 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 9% | 11.60 | – |
Form
Albinoleffe – last 6
| 31 Aug | vs Ospitaletto | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Aug | @ Giana Erminio | 2–1 | W |
| 15 Aug | @ Arzignano Valchiampo | 1–2 | L |
| 8 Aug | vs Scanzorosciate | 3–0 | W |
| 2 Aug | vs Inter U23 | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Jul | @ Arezzo | 3–1 | W |
Athletic Carpi – last 6
| 2 Sep | vs PRO Vercelli | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Aug | vs Juventus U23 | 3–3 | D |
| 21 Aug | @ Union Brescia | 1–3 | L |
| 15 Aug | vs Pianese | 3–2 | W |
| 9 Aug | @ Mantova | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Apr | @ Guidonia Montecelio 1937 | 3–2 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Albinoleffe and Athletic Carpi.
Serie C Girone A table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Cittadella | 13 | +13 | 31 |
| 2 |  Union Brescia | 13 | +15 | 28 |
| 3 |  Trento | 13 | +12 | 27 |
| 4 |  Ospitaletto | 13 | +8 | 22 |
| 5 |  Treviso | 13 | +5 | 22 |
| 6 |  Arzignano Valchiampo | 13 | +4 | 21 |
| 7 |  Lecco | 13 | +11 | 20 |
| 8 |  Alcione | 13 | +2 | 18 |
| 9 |  Albinoleffe | 13 | +1 | 17 |
| 10 |  Pergolettese | 13 | -1 | 17 |
| 11 |  Lumezzane | 13 | -3 | 16 |
| 12 |  PRO Vercelli | 13 | -7 | 16 |
| 13 |  Desenzano Calvina | 13 | -5 | 13 |
| 14 |  Novara | 13 | -7 | 13 |
| 15 |  Athletic Carpi | 13 | -10 | 13 |
| 16 |  Giana Erminio | 13 | -4 | 12 |
| 17 |  Renate | 13 | -1 | 11 |
| 18 |  Juventus U23 | 13 | -11 | 11 |
| 19 |  Dolomiti Bellunesi | 13 | -12 | 10 |
| 20 |  Folgore Caratese | 13 | -10 | 8 |
More Serie C Girone A predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Albinoleffe vs Athletic Carpi?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Albinoleffe vs Athletic Carpi?
On our numbers Albinoleffe have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Athletic Carpi 28%.
How many goals will there be in Albinoleffe vs Athletic Carpi?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
When is Albinoleffe vs Athletic Carpi?
Albinoleffe vs Athletic Carpi (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at AlbinoLeffe.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.