Value bet: Alcione to win @ 2.80 – our chance 40% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAlcione to win ✗40% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.40
Dolomiti Bellunesi vs Alcione preview and prediction
The match
Alcione travel to Zugni Tauro in the Serie C Girone A on Sunday 30 August (17:00 WAT) to face Dolomiti Bellunesi. Dolomiti Bellunesi are 19th with 10 points from 13 games (in the bottom three), while Alcione sit 8th on 18 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Dolomiti Bellunesi's last 5: WWDLL Most recently they beat Folgore Caratese 2–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Alcione's last 5: WLLLD Most recently they beat Renate 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Dolomiti Bellunesi arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.4 for Dolomiti Bellunesi and 1.5 for Alcione. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 48% and both teams to score at 58%.
Value angle: Alcione to win at 2.80 – 40% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.42, above our fair price of 1.39, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Dolomiti Bellunesi 1–1 Alcione. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Dolomiti Bellunesi34%fair 2.92 · @2.45
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.00
Alcione40%fair 2.47 · @2.80
2.90Expected goals
1.38Dolomiti Bellunesi xG
1.52Alcione xG
58%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–08%
0–26%
From our goals model: Dolomiti Bellunesi 1.4 – 1.5 Alcione expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alcione to win✗
40%
2.47
2.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.34
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
1.90 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.47
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alcione / FT Alcione✗
24%
4.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.40
–
Form
Dolomiti Bellunesi – last 6
WWDLLL
24 Aug
@ Folgore Caratese
2–1
W
16 Aug
vs Treviso
1–0
W
29 Jul
vs Virtus Verona
1–1
D
25 Jul
@ Hellas Verona
0–1
L
19 Jul
@ Venezia
2–4
L
19 Apr
@ Union Brescia
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Alcione – last 6
WLLLDL
21 Aug
vs Renate
3–1
W
16 Aug
vs Novara
0–1
L
30 Jul
@ Mantova
2–6
L
22 Jul
@ Torino
0–1
L
19 Apr
@ Virtus Verona
1–1
D
10 Apr
vs Lecco
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dolomiti Bellunesi and Alcione.
What is the prediction for Dolomiti Bellunesi vs Alcione?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Dolomiti Bellunesi vs Alcione?
On our numbers Dolomiti Bellunesi have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Alcione 40%.
How many goals will there be in Dolomiti Bellunesi vs Alcione?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dolomiti Bellunesi vs Alcione?
Our predicted score is Dolomiti Bellunesi 1–1 Alcione, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Dolomiti Bellunesi vs Alcione?
Dolomiti Bellunesi vs Alcione (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Zugni Tauro.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
