Serie C Girone A · Italy · Giuseppe VoltiniPergolettese vs Union Brescia prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.41 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.25 – our chance 52% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Pergolettese 0.8 – 1.9 Union Brescia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Union Brescia travel as clear favourites – 63% to win, against 15% for Pergolettese.
Pergolettese have taken 6 points from their last 6 matches (1W 3D 2L), scoring 0.5 and conceding 1.2 per game. Union Brescia have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
We expect around 2.7 goals (0.8 for Pergolettese, 1.9 for Union Brescia). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 52%. Most likely scores: 0–1 (13%), 0–2 (12%), 1–1 (10%).
In their last 1 meeting, Pergolettese have won 1, Union Brescia have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 71% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.40 is close to our fair price of 1.41. For a bigger price, Both teams to score at 2.25 is our value angle (52% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Union Brescia to win ✓ | 63% | 1.59 | 1.48 |
| Double chance | Union Brescia or draw ✓ | 85% | 1.18 | 1.06 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 52% | 1.93 | 2.25 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 71% | 1.41 | 1.40 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 54% | 1.86 | 1.62 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 75% | 1.34 | 1.20 |
| Half-time result | Union Brescia ahead at half-time ✗ | 45% | 2.22 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Union Brescia / FT Union Brescia ✗ | 40% | 2.50 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✓ | 13% | 7.78 | – |
Form
Pergolettese – last 6
| 22 Aug | @ Cittadella | 0–2 | L |
| 14 Aug | @ PRO Vercelli | 1–1 | D |
| 9 Aug | vs Inter U23 | 0–0 | D |
| 19 Apr | @ Vicenza Virtus | 0–0 | D |
| 6 Apr | @ Albinoleffe | 0–3 | L |
| 3 Mar | vs PRO Vercelli | 2–1 | W |
Union Brescia – last 6
| 21 Aug | vs Athletic Carpi | 3–1 | W |
| 9 Aug | @ Arezzo | 0–2 | L |
| 1 Aug | @ Pro Palazzolo | 1–1 | D |
| 7 Jun | @ Ascoli | 0–3 | L |
| 3 Jun | vs Ascoli | 1–1 | D |
| 27 May | vs Salernitana | 2–0 | W |
Head to head
| 16 Feb 2026 | Pergolettese v Union Brescia | 2–1 |
Serie C Girone A table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Cittadella | 13 | +13 | 31 |
| 2 |  Union Brescia | 13 | +15 | 28 |
| 3 |  Trento | 13 | +12 | 27 |
| 4 |  Ospitaletto | 13 | +8 | 22 |
| 5 |  Treviso | 13 | +5 | 22 |
| 6 |  Arzignano Valchiampo | 13 | +4 | 21 |
| 7 |  Lecco | 13 | +11 | 20 |
| 8 |  Alcione | 13 | +2 | 18 |
| 9 |  Albinoleffe | 13 | +1 | 17 |
| 10 |  Pergolettese | 13 | -1 | 17 |
| 11 |  Lumezzane | 13 | -3 | 16 |
| 12 |  PRO Vercelli | 13 | -7 | 16 |
| 13 |  Desenzano Calvina | 13 | -5 | 13 |
| 14 |  Novara | 13 | -7 | 13 |
| 15 |  Athletic Carpi | 13 | -10 | 13 |
| 16 |  Giana Erminio | 13 | -4 | 12 |
| 17 |  Renate | 13 | -1 | 11 |
| 18 |  Juventus U23 | 13 | -11 | 11 |
| 19 |  Dolomiti Bellunesi | 13 | -12 | 10 |
| 20 |  Folgore Caratese | 13 | -10 | 8 |
More Serie C Girone A predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Pergolettese vs Union Brescia?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Pergolettese vs Union Brescia?
On our numbers Pergolettese have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Union Brescia 63%.
How many goals will there be in Pergolettese vs Union Brescia?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
When is Pergolettese vs Union Brescia?
Pergolettese vs Union Brescia (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Giuseppe Voltini.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.