Serie C Girone A · Italy · Stadio Sandro CabassiAthletic Carpi vs Juventus U23 prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Juventus U23 to win @ 2.50 – our chance 45% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Athletic Carpi 1.1 – 1.4 Juventus U23 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Juventus U23 shade it despite being away from home – 45% to win, against 32% for Athletic Carpi.
Athletic Carpi have taken 13 points from their last 6 matches (4W 1D 1L), scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.3 per game. Juventus U23 have 9 points from their last 6 (2W 3D 1L), averaging 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded. Athletic Carpi come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.5 goals (1.1 for Athletic Carpi, 1.4 for Juventus U23). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 58%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 0–1 (12%), 1–0 (9%).
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 77% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is close to our fair price of 1.31. For a bigger price, Juventus U23 to win at 2.50 is our value angle (45% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Juventus U23 to win ✗ | 45% | 2.20 | 2.50 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 78% | 1.29 | 1.30 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 58% | 1.73 | 1.83 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 69% | 1.45 | 1.38 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 56% | 1.78 | 1.65 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 77% | 1.31 | 1.22 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 44% | 2.25 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Juventus U23 / FT Juventus U23 ✗ | 25% | 3.97 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 12% | 8.54 | – |
Form
Athletic Carpi – last 6
| 21 Aug | @ Union Brescia | 1–3 | L |
| 15 Aug | vs Pianese | 3–2 | W |
| 9 Aug | @ Mantova | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Apr | @ Guidonia Montecelio 1937 | 3–2 | W |
| 3 Apr | vs Pontedera | 2–0 | W |
| 8 Mar | vs Torres | 1–1 | D |
Juventus U23 – last 6
| 22 Aug | vs Novara | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Aug | vs Forli | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Jul | @ Pisa | 1–1 | D |
| 6 May | vs Pianese | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Apr | vs Bra | 2–2 | D |
| 12 Apr | vs Guidonia Montecelio 1937 | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Athletic Carpi and Juventus U23.
Serie C Girone A table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Cittadella | 13 | +13 | 31 |
| 2 |  Union Brescia | 13 | +15 | 28 |
| 3 |  Trento | 13 | +12 | 27 |
| 4 |  Ospitaletto | 13 | +8 | 22 |
| 5 |  Treviso | 13 | +5 | 22 |
| 6 |  Arzignano Valchiampo | 13 | +4 | 21 |
| 7 |  Lecco | 13 | +11 | 20 |
| 8 |  Alcione | 13 | +2 | 18 |
| 9 |  Albinoleffe | 13 | +1 | 17 |
| 10 |  Pergolettese | 13 | -1 | 17 |
| 11 |  Lumezzane | 13 | -3 | 16 |
| 12 |  PRO Vercelli | 13 | -7 | 16 |
| 13 |  Desenzano Calvina | 13 | -5 | 13 |
| 14 |  Novara | 13 | -7 | 13 |
| 15 |  Athletic Carpi | 13 | -10 | 13 |
| 16 |  Giana Erminio | 13 | -4 | 12 |
| 17 |  Renate | 13 | -1 | 11 |
| 18 |  Juventus U23 | 13 | -11 | 11 |
| 19 |  Dolomiti Bellunesi | 13 | -12 | 10 |
| 20 |  Folgore Caratese | 13 | -10 | 8 |
More Serie C Girone A predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Athletic Carpi vs Juventus U23?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Athletic Carpi vs Juventus U23?
On our numbers Athletic Carpi have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Juventus U23 45%.
How many goals will there be in Athletic Carpi vs Juventus U23?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
When is Athletic Carpi vs Juventus U23?
Athletic Carpi vs Juventus U23 (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Sandro Cabassi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.