Everton W vs Birmingham City W prediction & analysis
85%
Footrivo pick
Everton W or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Everton W to win @ 1.80 – our chance 62% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultEverton W to win ✓62% · @1.80
Double chanceEverton W or draw ✓85% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.56
Everton W vs Birmingham City W preview and prediction
The match
Birmingham City W travel to Rossett Park in the FA WSL on Sunday 4 October (14:00 WAT) to face Everton W. Everton W are 8th with 11 points from 9 games (in the bottom half), while Birmingham City W sit 13th on 6 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Everton W's last 5: LWWWL Most recently they lost to Liverpool W 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Birmingham City W's last 5: LDLLD Most recently they lost to Liverpool W 3–4 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 2.7 conceded.
Everton W arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 23 September 2026, finished Everton W 2–0 Birmingham City W.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.8 for Everton W and 0.8 for Birmingham City W. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Everton W 62%, draw 23%, Birmingham City W 15%.
Safer route: Everton W or draw (85%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.65.
Value angle: Everton W to win at 1.80 – 62% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Everton W or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.18, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Everton W 1–0 Birmingham City W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Everton W62%fair 1.63 · @1.80
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.50
Birmingham City W15%fair 6.57 · @3.50
2.63Expected goals
1.83Everton W xG
0.80Birmingham City W xG
59%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Everton W 1.8 – 0.8 Birmingham City W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Everton W vs Birmingham City W?
Our pick is Everton W or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Everton W vs Birmingham City W?
On our numbers Everton W have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Birmingham City W 15%.
How many goals will there be in Everton W vs Birmingham City W?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Everton W vs Birmingham City W?
Our predicted score is Everton W 1–0 Birmingham City W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Everton W vs Birmingham City W?
Everton W vs Birmingham City W (FA WSL) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Rossett Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
