FA WSL · England · Trevor Brown Memorial GroundAston Villa W vs Crystal Palace W prediction & analysis
Aston Villa W or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Aston Villa W 2.2 – 1.2 Crystal Palace W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Aston Villa W hold the edge on home soil with a 59% chance of winning, against 17% for Crystal Palace W.
Aston Villa W have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.8 per game. Crystal Palace W have 11 points from their last 6 (3W 2D 1L), averaging 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
We expect around 3.4 goals (2.2 for Aston Villa W, 1.2 for Crystal Palace W). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–1 (10%), 1–1 (9%), 2–0 (8%).
Our pick is Aston Villa W or draw at a 83% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is better than our fair price of 1.20, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Aston Villa W to win ✗ | 59% | 1.68 | 1.73 |
| Double chance | Aston Villa W or draw ✓ | 83% | 1.20 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 64% | 1.56 | 1.65 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 85% | 1.18 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 66% | 1.52 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 56% | 1.78 | – |
| Half-time result | Aston Villa W ahead at half-time ✗ | 46% | 2.17 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Aston Villa W / FT Aston Villa W ✗ | 40% | 2.51 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 10% | 10.27 | – |
Form
Aston Villa W – last 6
| 30 Sep | vs Newcastle United W | 3–1 | W |
| 27 Sep | @ Tottenham Hotspur W | 0–4 | L |
| 23 Sep | @ Nottingham Forest W | 2–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | @ Brighton W | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Sep | vs Manchester City W | 1–4 | L |
| 5 Sep | @ Chelsea W | 1–1 | D |
Crystal Palace W – last 6
| 30 Sep | vs Charlton Athletic W | 3–0 | W |
| 27 Sep | @ Birmingham City W | 3–3 | D |
| 23 Sep | vs Watford W | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | vs Tottenham Hotspur W | 0–7 | L |
| 13 Sep | @ Arsenal W | 0–0 | D |
| 6 Sep | vs Everton W | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aston Villa W and Crystal Palace W.
FA WSL table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City W | 9 | +17 | 25 |
| 2 |  Chelsea W | 9 | +23 | 23 |
| 3 |  London City Lionesses W | 9 | +13 | 19 |
| 4 |  Tottenham Hotspur W | 9 | +7 | 16 |
| 5 |  Manchester United W | 9 | -1 | 15 |
| 6 |  Arsenal W | 9 | 0 | 13 |
| 7 |  Brighton W | 9 | +3 | 11 |
| 8 |  Everton W | 9 | -2 | 11 |
| 9 |  Aston Villa W | 9 | -6 | 10 |
| 10 |  Crystal Palace W | 9 | -9 | 9 |
| 11 |  West Ham W | 9 | -10 | 9 |
| 12 |  Liverpool W | 9 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 |  Birmingham City W | 9 | -10 | 6 |
| 14 |  Charlton Athletic W | 9 | -23 | 0 |
More FA WSL predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Aston Villa W vs Crystal Palace W?
Our pick is Aston Villa W or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Aston Villa W vs Crystal Palace W?
On our numbers Aston Villa W have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Crystal Palace W 17%.
How many goals will there be in Aston Villa W vs Crystal Palace W?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
When is Aston Villa W vs Crystal Palace W?
Aston Villa W vs Crystal Palace W (FA WSL) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Trevor Brown Memorial Ground.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.