Shelbourne vs Ajax Prediction, Odds & Analysis – 13 Aug 2026

Quick tips for this match

ResultAjax to win ✗74% · @1.13

Double chanceAjax or draw ✓89% · fair 1.12

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.95

GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓73% · @1.36

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.11

Shelbourne vs Ajax preview and prediction

The match

Shelbourne host Ajax in the UEFA Europa Conference League on Thursday 13 August, with kick-off at 19:45 (WAT) at Tolka Park.

Form guide

Shelbourne's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to St Patrick's Athl. 1–2 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 2.0 conceded.

Ajax's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat PEC Zwolle 2–0 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 3.0 per game.

Ajax arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 0.7.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 6 August 2026, finished Ajax 3–1 Shelbourne.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 4.1 goals: 1.1 for Shelbourne and 3.0 for Ajax. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Win chances: Shelbourne 11%, draw 15%, Ajax 74%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.95 – 62% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Shelbourne 1–2 Ajax. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Shelbourne11%fair 9.21 · @16.00

Draw15%fair 6.74 · @7.10

Ajax74%fair 1.35 · @1.13

4.10Expected goals

1.13Shelbourne xG

2.97Ajax xG

62%Both score

73%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–28%

1–38%

0–27%

0–37%

1–46%

1–16%

From our goals model: Shelbourne 1.1 – 3.0 Ajax expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Ajax to win ✗	74%	1.35	1.13
Double chance	Ajax or draw ✓	89%	1.12	–
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	62%	1.62	1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	88%	1.14	1.11
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	73%	1.37	1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals	Over 3.5 goals ✓	53%	1.87	1.93
Half-time result	Ajax ahead at half-time ✓	57%	1.76	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Ajax / FT Ajax ✗	52%	1.92	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	8%	12.11	–

Form

Shelbourne – last 6

LLLLWD

9 Aug	vs St Patrick's Athl.	1–2	L
6 Aug	@ Ajax	1–3	L
2 Aug	@ Waterford	0–1	L
30 Jul	@ Kalju Nomme	1–2	L
23 Jul	vs Kalju Nomme	5–2	W
17 Jul	@ Kerry	2–2	D

1.7Scored / game

2.0Conceded / game

83%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

Ajax – last 6

WWWWWW

9 Aug	@ PEC Zwolle	2–0	W
6 Aug	vs Shelbourne	3–1	W
2 Aug	@ FC Volendam	3–1	W
30 Jul	vs Vojvodina	4–1	W
26 Jul	vs Burnley	2–1	W
23 Jul	@ Vojvodina	4–1	W

3.0Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

83%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FC Lugano	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	Panathinaikos	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Twente	3	3	0	0	+6	9
4	Monaco	3	3	0	0	+6	9
5	Brighton	3	2	1	0	+5	7
6	Brann	3	2	1	0	+4	7
7	FC Copenhagen	3	2	1	0	+4	7
8	Universitatea Craiova	3	2	1	0	+4	7
9	Mjallby AIF	3	2	1	0	+4	7
10	St. Truiden	3	2	1	0	+3	7
11	Ajax	3	2	0	1	+6	6
12	Trabzonspor	3	2	0	1	+3	6
13	HNK Hajduk Split	3	2	0	1	+1	6
14	SC Freiburg	3	2	0	1	-1	6
15	FK Crvena Zvezda	3	1	1	1	0	4
16	Atalanta	3	1	1	1	0	4
17	SC Braga	3	1	1	1	-1	4
18	Gent	3	1	1	1	-1	4
19	Riga	3	0	3	0	0	3
20	FC Thun	3	1	0	2	0	3
21	Borac Banja Luka	3	1	0	2	-1	3
22	Lincoln Red Imps FC	3	1	0	2	-3	3
23	FK Jablonec	3	0	2	1	-1	2
24	Aarhus	3	0	2	1	-1	2
25	FC Nordsjaelland	3	0	2	1	-2	2
26	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	3	0	2	1	-2	2
27	Kairat Almaty	3	0	2	1	-4	2
28	CSKA Sofia	3	0	1	2	-2	1
29	FC Iberia 1999	3	0	1	2	-3	1
30	Pafos	3	0	1	2	-4	1
31	Getafe	3	0	1	2	-4	1
32	Heart Of Midlothian	3	0	1	2	-4	1
33	KuPS	3	0	1	2	-4	1
34	FC Midtjylland	3	0	1	2	-6	1
35	Inter Club d'Escaldes	3	0	0	3	-5	0
36	Kauno Žalgiris	3	0	0	3	-10	0

Team

Pts

Universitatea Craiova

-1

-1

-1

-1

-3

-1

-1

-2

-2

-4

-2

-3

-4

-4

-4

-4

-6

Inter Club d'Escaldes

-5

Kauno Žalgiris

-10

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Shelbourne vs Ajax?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Shelbourne vs Ajax?

On our numbers Shelbourne have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Ajax 74%.

How many goals will there be in Shelbourne vs Ajax?

We expect about 4.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Shelbourne vs Ajax?

Our predicted score is Shelbourne 1–2 Ajax, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.1 goals in total.

When is Shelbourne vs Ajax?

Shelbourne vs Ajax (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 13 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Tolka Park.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

By day

Match result

Goals

Exact outcomes

Shelbourne

Ajax

Shelbourne vs Ajax prediction & analysis

Over 2.5 goals

Quick tips for this match

Shelbourne vs Ajax preview and prediction

The match

Form guide

Head to head

Goals outlook

Betting angles

Our prediction

Win chances

Most likely scores

Every market, with fair odds

Form

Shelbourne – last 6

Ajax – last 6

Head to head

UEFA Europa Conference League table

More UEFA Europa Conference League predictions

Frequently asked questions