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UEFA Europa Conference League · Europe · Tammela Stadium

Ilves

WLLWW
1–1
FT

HNK Rijeka

WWWWW

Ilves vs HNK Rijeka prediction & analysis

80%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.25Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultHNK Rijeka to win ✗58% · @1.75
Double chanceHNK Rijeka or draw ✓79% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗18% · fair 5.57

Ilves vs HNK Rijeka preview and prediction

The match

The UEFA Europa Conference League sees Ilves take on HNK Rijeka on Thursday 13 August, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Tammela Stadium.

Form guide

Ilves's last 5: WLLWW Most recently they beat Mariehamn 2–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

HNK Rijeka's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Ilves 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.2 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

HNK Rijeka arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.5.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 6 August 2026, finished HNK Rijeka 1–0 Ilves.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 0.7 for Ilves and 1.4 for HNK Rijeka. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 61% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Ilves 0–1 HNK Rijeka. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Ilves21%fair 4.88 · @4.30
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.50
HNK Rijeka58%fair 1.73 · @1.75
2.05Expected goals
0.66Ilves xG
1.39HNK Rijeka xG
52%Both score
39%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

0–118%
0–013%
0–213%
1–112%
1–08%
1–28%

From our goals model: Ilves 0.7 – 1.4 HNK Rijeka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultHNK Rijeka to win ✗58%1.731.75
Double chanceHNK Rijeka or draw ✓79%1.261.15
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓52%1.931.93
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓65%1.541.35
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓61%1.641.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80%1.251.25
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓48%2.08–
Half-time / full-timeHT HNK Rijeka / FT HNK Rijeka ✗33%3.07–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗18%5.57–

Form

Ilves – last 6

WLLWWL
9 Augvs Mariehamn2–0W
6 Aug@ HNK Rijeka0–1L
2 Aug@ AC Oulu0–1L
30 Julvs Stjarnan1–0W
26 Julvs Lahti1–0W
23 Jul@ Stjarnan0–1L
0.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

HNK Rijeka – last 6

WWWWWW
6 Augvs Ilves1–0W
2 Augvs Rudes2–1W
30 Jul@ Derry City1–0W
23 Julvs Derry City1–0W
3 Jul@ Radomlje2–0W
30 Jun@ Brinje-Grosuplje3–0W
1.7Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

6 Aug 2026HNK Rijeka v Ilves1–0

More UEFA Europa Conference League predictions

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FT FK Tobol Kostanay1 FK Partizan2 130%2.85X21%3.50250%2.22 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.25 ✓
FT Flora Tallinn0 Inter Club d'Escaldes4 164%1.88X21%3.60214%3.60 1XFlora Tallinn or draw 86%@1.25 ✗
FT Qarabag2 Dynamo Kyiv0 166%1.82X21%3.60213%3.85 1XQarabag or draw 87%@1.25 ✓
FT Rīgas FS1 FK Jablonec2 150%1.98X21%3.45229%3.40 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.25 ✓
FT Dinamo Minsk0 SC Braga0 111%7.75X20%4.45269%1.36 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 71%@1.42 ✓
FT Dunajska Streda3 Twente3 112%5.60X17%4.30270%1.48 2Twente to win 70%@1.48 ✗
FT Hammarby FF0 Raków Częstochowa1 165%1.71X21%3.60214%4.35 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.36 ✓
FT FC Midtjylland3 Bohemians2 169%1.18X19%6.20212%12.00 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 58%@1.80 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ilves vs HNK Rijeka?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Ilves vs HNK Rijeka?

On our numbers Ilves have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 22% and HNK Rijeka 58%.

How many goals will there be in Ilves vs HNK Rijeka?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ilves vs HNK Rijeka?

Our predicted score is Ilves 0–1 HNK Rijeka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Ilves vs HNK Rijeka?

Ilves vs HNK Rijeka (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 13 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Tammela Stadium.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.