Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Qarabag to win @ 1.82 – our chance 66% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultQarabag to win ✓66% · @1.82
Double chanceQarabag or draw ✓87% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗22% · fair 4.49
Qarabag vs Dynamo Kyiv preview and prediction
The match
The UEFA Europa Conference League sees Qarabag take on Dynamo Kyiv on Thursday 13 August, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Tofiq Bəhramov.
Form guide
Qarabag's last 5: LDDWW Most recently they lost to Dynamo Kyiv 0–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Dynamo Kyiv's last 5: WWLLD Most recently they beat Veres Rivne 2–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 6 August 2026, finished Dynamo Kyiv 1–0 Qarabag.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.4 for Qarabag and 0.4 for Dynamo Kyiv. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 60% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Qarabag 66%, draw 21%, Dynamo Kyiv 13%.
Safer route: Qarabag or draw (87%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Qarabag to win at 1.82 – 66% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Qarabag or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Qarabag 1–0 Dynamo Kyiv. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Qarabag66%fair 1.52 · @1.82
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @3.60
Dynamo Kyiv13%fair 7.45 · @3.85
1.87Expected goals
1.45Qarabag xG
0.42Dynamo Kyiv xG
48%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–022%
2–016%
0–015%
1–19%
3–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Qarabag 1.4 – 0.4 Dynamo Kyiv expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Qarabag vs Dynamo Kyiv?
Our pick is Qarabag or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Qarabag vs Dynamo Kyiv?
On our numbers Qarabag have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Dynamo Kyiv 13%.
How many goals will there be in Qarabag vs Dynamo Kyiv?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Qarabag vs Dynamo Kyiv?
Our predicted score is Qarabag 1–0 Dynamo Kyiv, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Qarabag vs Dynamo Kyiv?
Qarabag vs Dynamo Kyiv (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 13 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Tofiq Bəhramov.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.