Thursday, 12 November 2026 5 live now Results recordAccuracyHow it works18+ · Bet responsibly
Today's tips
UEFA Europa League · Europe · Alphamega Stadium

Pafos

LWLLL
3–3
FT

Red Bull Salzburg

DWWWL

Pafos vs Red Bull Salzburg prediction & analysis

72%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.40 · bookmaker 1.42 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.42Odds
1

Value bet: Pafos to win @ 2.88 – our chance 41% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultPafos to win ✗41% · @2.88
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.09

Pafos vs Red Bull Salzburg preview and prediction

The match

Pafos host Red Bull Salzburg in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday 13 August, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT) at Alphamega Stadium.

Form guide

Pafos's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to Red Bull Salzburg 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.

Red Bull Salzburg's last 5: DWWWL Most recently they drew with Wolfsberger AC 1–1 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Red Bull Salzburg arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.7.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 6 August 2026, finished Red Bull Salzburg 1–0 Pafos.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.3 for Pafos and 1.2 for Red Bull Salzburg. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 57%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.42. Predicted score: Pafos 1–1 Red Bull Salzburg. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Pafos41%fair 2.43 · @2.88
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.60
Red Bull Salzburg36%fair 2.74 · @2.25
2.45Expected goals
1.27Pafos xG
1.18Red Bull Salzburg xG
57%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%

From our goals model: Pafos 1.3 – 1.2 Red Bull Salzburg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPafos to win ✗41%2.432.88 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78%1.291.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.741.57
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.361.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗50%1.992.10 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗72%1.401.42
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.24–
Half-time / full-timeHT Pafos / FT Pafos ✗22%4.50–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11%9.09–

Form

Pafos – last 6

LWLLLD
6 Aug@ Red Bull Salzburg0–1L
30 Julvs HNK Hajduk Split2–0W
23 Jul@ HNK Hajduk Split0–2L
16 Jul@ Slovan Bratislava2–3L
12 Jul@ Jagiellonia0–1L
8 Jul@ FK Jablonec0–0D
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Red Bull Salzburg – last 6

DWWWLL
9 Aug@ Wolfsberger AC1–1D
6 Augvs Pafos1–0W
1 Augvs TSV Hartberg1–0W
25 Jul@ Oberwart7–1W
15 Julvs Başakşehir1–2L
15 Julvs Gamba Osaka0–3L
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

6 Aug 2026Red Bull Salzburg v Pafos1–0
Pafos vs Red Bull Salzburg head-to-head page →

UEFA Europa League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Benfica4400+1012
2Bournemouth4400+912
3Ferencvarosi TC4400+812
4Union St. Gilloise4310+810
5Juventus4310+710
6Olympiakos Piraeus4310+310
7Bayer Leverkusen4301+79
8Beşiktaş4211+37
9Dinamo Zagreb4211+17
10Levski Sofia4211+17
11Sunderland421107
12NEC Nijmegen4211-17
13Lyon4211-17
14AZ Alkmaar4202+36
15Anderlecht4202+36
16OFI4202+16
17Rennes4130+16
18Omonia Nicosia4202-16
19Torreense4202-26
20Real Sociedad4121+55
21Crystal Palace4121+35
22Sparta Praha411204
231899 Hoffenheim411204
24Sturm Graz4112-34
25Celje4112-44
26Red Bull Salzburg4112-54
27Celta Vigo4103-23
28AC Milan4103-33
29Jagiellonia4103-33
30Plzen4103-43
31Marseille4103-43
32Celtic4103-53
33Hapoel Beer Sheva4013-71
34Lillestrom4013-81
35Lech Poznan4013-101
36Ararat-Armenia4004-100

More UEFA Europa League predictions

League hub
FT Omonia Nicosia1 Lincoln Red Imps FC0 173%1.11X15%8.20211%19.50 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 65%@1.65 ✓
FT Universitatea Craiova2 KuPS1 165%1.39X18%4.30217%8.75 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.30 ✓
FT Beşiktaş1 Hradec Králové0 168%1.29X21%5.00210%10.25 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 71%@1.50 ✓
FT Gornik Zabrze1 Ferencvarosi TC1 152%2.28X21%3.45227%2.92 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.28 ✓
FT Vikingur Reykjavik3 FC Thun2 124%2.36X54%3.90222%2.56 1XVikingur Reykjavik or draw 78%@1.48 ✓
FT CSKA Sofia1 Maccabi Tel Aviv3 145%2.28X22%3.35233%3.00 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.25 ✗
FT Rangers1 Jagiellonia1 161%1.58X23%4.10216%5.25 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.22 ✓
FT Anderlecht3 PAOK2 137%2.90X23%3.50240%2.28 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.33 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Pafos vs Red Bull Salzburg?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.

Who will win Pafos vs Red Bull Salzburg?

On our numbers Pafos have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Red Bull Salzburg 36%.

How many goals will there be in Pafos vs Red Bull Salzburg?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Pafos vs Red Bull Salzburg?

Our predicted score is Pafos 1–1 Red Bull Salzburg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Pafos vs Red Bull Salzburg?

Pafos vs Red Bull Salzburg (UEFA Europa League) kicks off on Thursday 13 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Alphamega Stadium.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.